TGM's two-stage DCF values Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) between $214.67 and $417.44 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $296.04. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.6%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$486.09 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +21.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.6% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.2%/yr | 9.6% | $214.67 |
| Base case | 10.2%/yr | 8.6% | $296.04 |
| Optimistic | 13.2%/yr | 7.6% | $417.44 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $519.38 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$486.09
Market-Implied Growth
+21.5%/yr
vs +12.3% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$214.67 – $417.44
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for HUBB (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $763.0M · 0.05B shares · net debt $2.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$296.04
-39.1% vs $486.09
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.2%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $486.09; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $379 | $417 | $466 | $528 | $609 |
| 7.6% | $308 | $333 | $364 | $402 | $448 |
| 8.6% | $257 | $275 | $296 | $321 | $351 |
| 9.6% | $219 | $232 | $247 | $265 | $285 |
| 10.6% | $189 | $199 | $210 | $223 | $238 |
