TGM's two-stage DCF values Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) between $227.27 and $440.49 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $312.84. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.6%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$454.97 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +19.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.6% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 8.4%/yr | 9.6% | $227.27 |
| Base case | 11.4%/yr | 8.6% | $312.84 |
| Optimistic | 14.4%/yr | 7.6% | $440.49 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 9, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $505.45 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$454.97
Market-Implied Growth
+19.9%/yr
vs +14.3% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$227.27 – $440.49
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for HUBB (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $763.0M · 0.05B shares · net debt $2.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$312.84
-31.2% vs $454.97
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 11.4%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $454.97; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $400 | $441 | $492 | $558 | $644 |
| 7.6% | $325 | $352 | $385 | $424 | $474 |
| 8.6% | $271 | $291 | $313 | $339 | $370 |
| 9.6% | $231 | $245 | $261 | $280 | $301 |
| 10.6% | $200 | $210 | $222 | $236 | $252 |
