Why we don't show a single “fair value” for GTIM
Even the conservative scenario ($3.47) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $3.47 |
| Base case | 2.6%/yr | 7.5% | $4.55 |
| Optimistic | 5.6%/yr | 6.5% | $6.47 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $15.48 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$1.48
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$4.55
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for GTIM (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $2.3M · 0.01B shares · net cash $263000
Estimated Fair Value
$4.55
+207.2% vs $1.48
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $1.48; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $5.88 | $6.60 | $7.56 | $8.91 | $10.93 |
| 6.5% | $4.70 | $5.14 | $5.68 | $6.37 | $7.30 |
| 7.5% | $3.92 | $4.20 | $4.55 | $4.97 | $5.49 |
| 8.5% | $3.36 | $3.56 | $3.79 | $4.07 | $4.40 |
| 9.5% | $2.94 | $3.09 | $3.25 | $3.45 | $3.67 |
