Graco (GGG) DCF: History & Chart

Graco Inc.(GGG)

Industrial - Machinery · Minneapolis, MN

$81.01-0.54 (-0.66%)

Delayed quote: Aug 18, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT

About Graco Inc.

Graco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems for applying polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings. This division also supplies machinery for the precise pumping, metering, mixing, and dispensing of sealants, adhesives, and composite materials. Further offerings include gel-coat equipment, chop and wet-out systems, resin transfer molding solutions, various applicators, and advanced precision dispensing tools. The segment's portfolio also encompasses liquid finishing equipment, paint circulation and supply pumps, sophisticated paint circulating control systems, and plural component coating proportioners. Complementary spare parts and accessories, along with powder finishing products for metal coatings under the Gema and SAT brands, complete this comprehensive segment. The Process segment is dedicated to delivering pumps capable of transferring and dispensing a wide array of fluids, such as chemicals, water, wastewater, petroleum products, food items, and lubricants. It also produces pressure valves crucial for the oil and natural gas industry, various industrial processes, and scientific research. Chemical injection pumping solutions for both producing oil wells and pipelines are another key offering. Moreover, this segment caters to vehicle servicing facilities – including fast oil change operations, service garages, fleet centers, automobile dealerships, auto parts retailers, truck builders, and heavy equipment service centers – by supplying pumps, hose reels, meters, valves, and related accessories. A significant part of its offerings includes automatic lubrication systems, components, and accessories for the continuous lubrication of bearings, gears, and generators within industrial and commercial equipment, compressors, turbines, and both on- and off-road vehicles. Graco's Contractor segment focuses on sprayers specifically designed for applying paint to walls and other structural surfaces, viscous coatings onto roofs, and for marking lines on roads, parking lots, athletic fields, and interior floors. The company distributes its extensive product range through established channels including distributors, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and home improvement retailers, as well as via direct sales to end-users.

Minneapolis, MN

4,400 employees

www.graco.com

Industrials / Industrial - Machinery

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial - Machinery
CEO: Mark W. Sheahan

View full financials

Graco Inc. (GGG) DCF Valuation

Price is INSIDE the estimated range

$49.64

$85.95

Model scenario range

$81.01

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Graco Inc. (GGG) between $49.64 and $85.95 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $64.25. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.7%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+13.1%/yr

Actual FCF growth, last 5 years+10.3%/yr

$81.01 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +13.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.7% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	4.1%/yr	9.7%	$49.64
Base case	7.1%/yr	8.7%	$64.25
Optimistic	10.1%/yr	7.7%	$85.95
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Aug 18, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$80.08

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$81.01

Market-Implied Growth

+13.1%/yr

vs +10.3% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$49.64 – $85.95

model output — not a price target

GGG DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for GGG (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate7.1%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 33.1% · 5Y 10.3% · 10Y 16.6%

Discount Rate (WACC)8.7%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $490.6M · 0.16B shares · net cash $581.3M

Estimated Fair Value

$64.25

-20.7% vs $81.01

Current price$81.01

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$80.08

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 7.1%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $81.01; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
6.7%	$78.76	$85.53	$93.91	$105	$118
7.7%	$66.31	$70.83	$76.22	$82.75	$90.82
8.7%	$57.34	$60.54	$64.25	$68.61	$73.80
9.7%	$50.56	$52.93	$55.62	$58.71	$62.29
10.7%	$45.27	$47.08	$49.10	$51.38	$53.98