GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) DCF Valuation
Why we don't show a single “fair value” for GEV
Even the optimistic scenario of a conservative trailing-FCF model ($136.16) sits far below today's price — the market is paying for growth and durability beyond what this model structure captures. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 5.7%/yr | 10.3% | $92.48 |
| Base case | 8.7%/yr | 9.3% | $110.34 |
| Optimistic | 11.7%/yr | 8.3% | $136.16 |
| Analyst DCF (FMP) | independent reference — different model | $339.06 | |
Current Price
$1,127.59
Market-Implied Growth
—
Base-Case Model Value
$110.34
model output — not a price target
GEV DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for GEV (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.1B · 0.27B shares · net cash $8.8B
Estimated Fair Value
$128.46
-88.6% vs $1127.59
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 8.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $1127.59; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | $155 | $163 | $173 | $184 | $199 |
| 8.3% | $135 | $141 | $147 | $154 | $163 |
| 9.3% | $121 | $124 | $128 | $133 | $139 |
| 10.3% | $109 | $112 | $115 | $118 | $122 |
| 11.3% | $101 | $103 | $105 | $107 | $110 |
About GE Vernova Inc.
GE Vernova Inc. is an energy enterprise primarily engaged in generating electricity. Its business activities are categorized into three main divisions: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment is responsible for producing and distributing electricity from various sources, including hydroelectric, natural gas, nuclear, and steam power. The Wind division concentrates on the fabrication and sale of wind turbine blades. Meanwhile, the Electrification segment offers an array of services such as grid infrastructure solutions, power conversion technologies, and both solar and energy storage systems. The company was established in 2023 and has its headquarters situated in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Renewable Utilities
- CEO
- Scott L. Strazik