Why we don't show a single “fair value” for GASS
Even the conservative scenario ($27.92) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $27.92 |
| Base case | 2.4%/yr | 7.5% | $35.51 |
| Optimistic | 5.4%/yr | 6.5% | $49.50 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $22.60 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$9.10
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$35.51
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for GASS (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $59.8M · 0.04B shares · net cash $99.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$35.51
+290.3% vs $9.10
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.4%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $9.10; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $45.17 | $50.41 | $57.40 | $67.18 | $81.83 |
| 6.5% | $36.64 | $39.79 | $43.72 | $48.77 | $55.51 |
| 7.5% | $30.95 | $33.03 | $35.51 | $38.55 | $42.34 |
| 8.5% | $26.89 | $28.35 | $30.04 | $32.04 | $34.44 |
| 9.5% | $23.84 | $24.91 | $26.13 | $27.54 | $29.17 |
