Why we don't show a single “fair value” for FVRR
Even the conservative scenario ($32.92) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.7%/yr | 12.2% | $32.92 |
| Base case | 10.7%/yr | 11.2% | $40.53 |
| Optimistic | 13.7%/yr | 10.2% | $50.90 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $48.83 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$8.50
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$40.53
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for FVRR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $81.9M · 0.04B shares · net cash $124.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$40.53
+376.9% vs $8.50
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $8.50; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | $47.02 | $49.45 | $52.24 | $55.47 | $59.27 |
| 10.2% | $41.73 | $43.56 | $45.62 | $47.96 | $50.65 |
| 11.2% | $37.55 | $38.96 | $40.53 | $42.29 | $44.28 |
| 12.2% | $34.16 | $35.28 | $36.51 | $37.87 | $39.39 |
| 13.2% | $31.36 | $32.26 | $33.24 | $34.32 | $35.51 |
