Why we don't show a single “fair value” for FVRR
Even the conservative scenario ($33.56) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.7%/yr | 12.0% | $33.56 |
| Base case | 10.7%/yr | 11.0% | $41.45 |
| Optimistic | 13.7%/yr | 10.0% | $52.25 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 5, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $51.64 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$9.45
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$41.45
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for FVRR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $81.9M · 0.04B shares · net cash $124.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$41.45
+338.7% vs $9.45
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $9.45; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $48.25 | $50.83 | $53.81 | $57.27 | $61.37 |
| 10.0% | $42.69 | $44.62 | $46.80 | $49.29 | $52.16 |
| 11.0% | $38.32 | $39.80 | $41.45 | $43.31 | $45.42 |
| 12.0% | $34.78 | $35.95 | $37.24 | $38.68 | $40.27 |
| 13.0% | $31.88 | $32.82 | $33.85 | $34.97 | $36.22 |
