Ford Motor Company (F) DCF Valuation
A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Ford Motor Company (F) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
Reverse DCF: at today's $14.95, the market is pricing in roughly +13.6%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of -13.0%. The price is betting on acceleration above its track record.
Current Price
$14.95
Fair-Value Range
—
Market-Implied Growth
+13.6%/yr
vs -13.0% 5Y actual
F DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $6.5B · 3.91B shares · net debt $141.4B
Estimated Fair Value
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These assumptions imply no positive equity value — try a higher growth or lower discount rate.
About Ford Motor Company
Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxury models from its Lincoln brand. The company structures its diverse operations into distinct segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit. Ford distributes its vehicles, service components, and accessories through a worldwide network of distributors and dealerships. It also supplies directly to large organizational clients, including commercial fleet operators, daily rental companies, and government entities, often facilitated by its established dealerships. Beyond manufacturing and sales, Ford provides substantial financial services. This includes offering retail installment contracts for both new and used vehicles, as well as direct financing leases for new vehicles to a wide range of customers – from individual consumers to commercial enterprises such as leasing companies, government agencies, and fleet providers. Furthermore, the company extends wholesale loans to dealers to facilitate inventory purchases. It also offers capital to dealers for operational expenses, facility enhancements, real estate acquisitions, and other business initiatives. Founded in 1903, Ford Motor Company is headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Auto - Manufacturers
- CEO
- James Duncan Farley Jr.