Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) DCF: History & Chart

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.(EXPD)

Integrated Freight & Logistics · Bellevue, WA

$193.61+1.01 (+0.52%)

Delayed quote: Sep 14, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT

About Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India, the company delivers an extensive portfolio of services to its clients. Their core transportation offerings include comprehensive air freight solutions, encompassing both consolidation and forwarding, alongside diverse ocean freight services ranging from consolidated cargo to direct vessel bookings, complemented by efficient order management. Beyond mere transport, Expeditors provides crucial ancillary services such as customs brokerage and clearance, intra-continental ground delivery, and warehousing and distribution. The company's advanced supply chain capabilities feature meticulous purchase order oversight, vendor consolidation, guaranteed time-critical transportation, temperature-controlled shipping environments, cargo insurance, and sophisticated cargo monitoring and tracking systems. Moreover, they offer strategic advisory services for supply chain optimization, trade compliance, general business consulting, and enhanced cargo security protocols. Expeditors frequently acts as a freight consolidator or an authorized agent for airlines facilitating shipments. Their support infrastructure further includes the detailed preparation of all required shipping and customs documentation, expert packing and crating services, arrangement of insurance, negotiation of letters of credit, and ensuring full compliance with local export regulations. Serving a broad spectrum of industries, their client base primarily consists of retailing, wholesaling, electronics, technology, and various industrial and manufacturing companies. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. was founded in 1979 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Seattle, Washington.

Bellevue, WA

19,800 employees

www.expeditors.com

Industrials / Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
CEO: Daniel R. Wall

View full financials

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range

$105.67

$174.54

Model scenario range

$193.61

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) between $105.67 and $174.54 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $133.90. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.4%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+14.8%/yr

Actual FCF growth, last 5 years+7.1%/yr

$193.61 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +14.8% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.4% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	2.0%/yr	10.4%	$105.67
Base case	5.0%/yr	9.4%	$133.90
Optimistic	8.0%/yr	8.4%	$174.54
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Sep 13, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$70.97

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$193.61

Market-Implied Growth

+14.8%/yr

vs +7.1% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$105.67 – $174.54

model output — not a price target

EXPD DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for EXPD (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate5%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y -20.0% · 5Y 7.1% · 10Y 5.5%

Discount Rate (WACC)9.4%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $983.6M · 0.13B shares · net cash $1.3B

Estimated Fair Value

$133.90

-30.8% vs $193.61

Current price$193.61

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$70.97

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $193.61; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
7.4%	$160	$172	$185	$202	$223
8.4%	$138	$146	$155	$166	$179
9.4%	$121	$127	$134	$142	$151
10.4%	$109	$113	$118	$124	$130
11.4%	$98.44	$102	$106	$110	$115