Why we don't show a single “fair value” for DXST
A trailing-FCF DCF can't fairly anchor Decent Holding Inc. right now — free cash flow has been negative in recent years; free cash flow is currently depressed by a heavy investment cycle while revenue keeps growing. For a company in this position, trailing free cash flow understates what the business actually earns for owners, so any “fair value” built on it would be misleadingly low. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 8.5% | $16.01 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 7.5% | $21.61 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 6.5% | $29.37 |
Current Price
$1.97
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$21.61
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for DXST (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $344039 · 0.00B shares · net cash $572807
Estimated Fair Value
$21.61
+996.9% vs $1.97
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $1.97; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $28.13 | $31.66 | $36.37 | $42.96 | $52.83 |
| 6.5% | $22.38 | $24.49 | $27.14 | $30.53 | $35.06 |
| 7.5% | $18.55 | $19.94 | $21.61 | $23.65 | $26.19 |
| 8.5% | $15.83 | $16.80 | $17.94 | $19.28 | $20.88 |
| 9.5% | $13.80 | $14.51 | $15.32 | $16.26 | $17.35 |
