Why we don't show a single “fair value” for DXLG
Even the conservative scenario ($3.71) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 11.4% | $3.71 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 10.4% | $4.35 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 9.4% | $5.50 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $3.42 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$0.39
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$4.35
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for DXLG (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $17.0M · 0.06B shares · net cash $23.8M
Estimated Fair Value
$4.35
+1011.3% vs $0.39
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $0.39; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | $5.06 | $5.34 | $5.67 | $6.06 | $6.53 |
| 9.4% | $4.47 | $4.67 | $4.91 | $5.18 | $5.50 |
| 10.4% | $4.01 | $4.17 | $4.35 | $4.54 | $4.77 |
| 11.4% | $3.65 | $3.77 | $3.91 | $4.06 | $4.23 |
| 12.4% | $3.35 | $3.45 | $3.56 | $3.67 | $3.81 |
