Why we don't show a single “fair value” for DSWL
Even the conservative scenario ($13.82) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $13.82 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $17.26 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $23.99 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $5.75 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$3.02
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$17.26
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for DSWL (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $12.5M · 0.02B shares · net cash $23.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$17.26
+471.5% vs $3.02
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $3.02; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $21.90 | $24.41 | $27.77 | $32.46 | $39.50 |
| 6.5% | $17.80 | $19.31 | $21.20 | $23.63 | $26.86 |
| 7.5% | $15.07 | $16.06 | $17.26 | $18.72 | $20.54 |
| 8.5% | $13.12 | $13.82 | $14.63 | $15.59 | $16.74 |
| 9.5% | $11.65 | $12.17 | $12.75 | $13.43 | $14.21 |
