TGM's two-stage DCF values BRP Inc. (DOO) between $51.65 and $104.47 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $73.20. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.2%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$55.24 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -1.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.2% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.6%/yr | 10.2% | $51.65 |
| Base case | 3.6%/yr | 9.2% | $73.20 |
| Optimistic | 6.6%/yr | 8.2% | $104.47 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $28.96 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$55.24
Market-Implied Growth
-1.5%/yr
vs +3.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$51.65 – $104.47
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for DOO (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $427.6M · 0.07B shares · net debt $1.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$73.20
+32.5% vs $55.24
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 3.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $55.24; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | $93.40 | $102 | $113 | $127 | $144 |
| 8.2% | $76.26 | $82.44 | $89.69 | $98.33 | $109 |
| 9.2% | $63.59 | $68.06 | $73.20 | $79.16 | $86.15 |
| 10.2% | $53.83 | $57.20 | $61.00 | $65.32 | $70.28 |
| 11.2% | $46.09 | $48.70 | $51.60 | $54.86 | $58.52 |
