Why we don't show a single “fair value” for CTRM
Even the conservative scenario ($59.20) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 11.2% | $59.20 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 10.2% | $73.49 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 9.2% | $90.24 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $2.48 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$1.97
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$73.49
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CTRM (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $25.6M · 0.01B shares · net cash $81.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$73.49
+3628.3% vs $1.97
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $1.97; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | $86.77 | $92.16 | $98.48 | $106 | $115 |
| 9.2% | $75.73 | $79.63 | $84.09 | $89.28 | $95.36 |
| 10.2% | $67.27 | $70.19 | $73.49 | $77.23 | $81.54 |
| 11.2% | $60.58 | $62.84 | $65.35 | $68.17 | $71.34 |
| 12.2% | $55.17 | $56.96 | $58.92 | $61.10 | $63.52 |
