Why we don't show a single “fair value” for CRWS
Even the conservative scenario ($9.78) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $9.78 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $12.86 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $18.89 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $28.00 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$2.46
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$12.86
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CRWS (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $7.6M · 0.01B shares · net debt $13.9M
Estimated Fair Value
$12.86
+422.9% vs $2.46
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $2.46; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $17.02 | $19.27 | $22.28 | $26.48 | $32.78 |
| 6.5% | $13.35 | $14.70 | $16.39 | $18.57 | $21.46 |
| 7.5% | $10.90 | $11.79 | $12.86 | $14.17 | $15.80 |
| 8.5% | $9.15 | $9.78 | $10.51 | $11.37 | $12.40 |
| 9.5% | $7.84 | $8.30 | $8.83 | $9.43 | $10.14 |
