A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 11.9% | N/A |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 10.9% | $4.90 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 9.9% | $10.97 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $32.42 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$112.10
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CHEF (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $46.0M · 0.04B shares · net debt $829.1M
Estimated Fair Value
$4.90
-95.6% vs $112.10
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $112.10; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | $9.65 | $11.47 | $13.58 | $16.03 | $18.94 |
| 9.9% | $5.76 | $7.11 | $8.64 | $10.40 | $12.42 |
| 10.9% | $2.71 | $3.75 | $4.90 | $6.21 | $7.68 |
| 11.9% | $0.26 | $1.07 | $1.97 | $2.97 | $4.09 |
| 12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | $0.40 | $1.27 |
