Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD) DCF Valuation
Transparent DCF models put Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD)'s fair value in a range of $54.40 – $127.17 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $97.03 sits within that range — roughly fairly valued on these assumptions.
Reverse DCF: at today's $97.03, the market is pricing in roughly +12.1%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +7.4%. The price is betting on acceleration above its track record.
Current Price
$97.03
Fair-Value Range
$54.40 – $127.17
Market-Implied Growth
+12.1%/yr
vs +7.4% 5Y actual
CHD DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $895.7M · 0.24B shares · net debt $1.8B
Estimated Fair Value
$54.40
-43.9% vs $97.03
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $97.03; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $69.44 | $73.39 | $78.06 | $83.66 | $90.50 |
| 9.0% | $58.58 | $61.28 | $64.39 | $68.03 | $72.32 |
| 10.0% | $50.30 | $52.22 | $54.40 | $56.88 | $59.75 |
| 11.0% | $43.79 | $45.20 | $46.78 | $48.55 | $50.55 |
| 12.0% | $38.55 | $39.61 | $40.78 | $42.08 | $43.53 |
About Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. is a company dedicated to the creation, production, and marketing of a diverse portfolio encompassing household, personal care, and specialized industrial goods. Its operations are structured into three principal divisions: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and the Specialty Products Division. The company offers a broad array of well-known consumer brands. Under the ARM & HAMMER umbrella, it provides cat litters, carpet fresheners, laundry detergents, baking soda, and various other baking soda-based items. Sexual health products, including condoms, lubricants, and vibrators, are marketed under the TROJAN brand. OXICLEAN delivers stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives. SPINBRUSH offers both battery-operated and manual toothbrushes. Home pregnancy and ovulation test kits are available through FIRST RESPONSE. NAIR specializes in depilatories, while ORAJEL provides oral pain relief. XTRA is another prominent laundry detergent brand. Gummy dietary supplements are sold under the L'IL CRITTERS and VITAFUSION labels. BATISTE is known for its dry shampoos. WATERPIK manufactures water flossers and replacement showerheads. The company also includes its FLAWLESS range of products, ZICAM for cold symptom relief, and THERABREATH for oral care. Beyond consumer items, Church & Dwight supplies specialty products. These include advanced animal productivity solutions such as MEGALAC, a rumen bypass fat supplement designed to help cows sustain energy during peak milk production. BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN are utilized to mitigate health issues linked to calving and to provide essential protein. CELMANAX is a refined functional carbohydrate and yeast-based prebiotic. Furthermore, the company furnishes sodium bicarbonate for industrial use, as well as various cleaning and deodorizing compounds. Church & Dwight distributes its consumer goods through an extensive network of retail outlets, including supermarkets, large department stores, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home goods stores, dollar and other discount retailers, pet stores, specialized shops, and various online e-commerce channels. Its specialty products, conversely, reach industrial clients and livestock producers via dedicated distributors. Founded in 1846, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Ewing, New Jersey.
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
- CEO
- Richard A. Dierker