TGM's two-stage DCF values Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP) between $1.84 and $9.55 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $4.90. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.3%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$10.01 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +15.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.3% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3.6%/yr | 9.3% | $1.84 |
| Base case | 6.6%/yr | 8.3% | $4.90 |
| Optimistic | 9.6%/yr | 7.3% | $9.55 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $4.59 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$10.01
Market-Implied Growth
+15.1%/yr
vs +6.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$1.84 – $9.55
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for BBCP (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $29.5M · 0.05B shares · net debt $373.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$4.90
-51.0% vs $10.01
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 6.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $10.01; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | $8.05 | $9.59 | $11.53 | $14.06 | $17.48 |
| 7.3% | $5.32 | $6.32 | $7.52 | $9.01 | $10.88 |
| 8.3% | $3.40 | $4.09 | $4.90 | $5.86 | $7.02 |
| 9.3% | $1.97 | $2.48 | $3.05 | $3.72 | $4.50 |
| 10.3% | $0.87 | $1.25 | $1.68 | $2.17 | $2.72 |
