TGM's two-stage DCF values Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) between $82.15 and $185.94 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $122.09. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$76.05 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -1.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4.1%/yr | 8.5% | $82.15 |
| Base case | 7.1%/yr | 7.5% | $122.09 |
| Optimistic | 10.1%/yr | 6.5% | $185.94 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 8, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $386.44 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$76.05
Market-Implied Growth
-1.5%/yr
vs +17.8% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$82.15 – $185.94
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for BAH (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $718.8M · 0.12B shares · net debt $3.3B
Estimated Fair Value
$122.09
+60.5% vs $76.05
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 7.1%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $76.05; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $167 | $191 | $224 | $269 | $337 |
| 6.5% | $127 | $142 | $160 | $184 | $215 |
| 7.5% | $101 | $111 | $122 | $136 | $154 |
| 8.5% | $82.11 | $88.85 | $96.71 | $106 | $117 |
| 9.5% | $68.02 | $72.96 | $78.60 | $85.10 | $92.68 |
