AstraZeneca PLC (AZN) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate AstraZeneca PLC's fair value between $72.49 (conservative case) and $572.35 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$182.28 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +16.1% a year for the next decade — slower than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$182.28
Fair-Value Range
$72.49 – $572.35
Market-Implied Growth
+16.1%/yr
vs +18.5% 5Y actual
AZN DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $8.2B · 1.55B shares · net debt $22.2B
Estimated Fair Value
$72.49
-60.2% vs $182.28
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $182.28; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $93.56 | $99.10 | $106 | $113 | $123 |
| 9.0% | $78.35 | $82.13 | $86.49 | $91.58 | $97.60 |
| 10.0% | $66.76 | $69.45 | $72.49 | $75.98 | $80.00 |
| 11.0% | $57.64 | $59.62 | $61.82 | $64.30 | $67.11 |
| 12.0% | $50.30 | $51.78 | $53.42 | $55.24 | $57.27 |
About AstraZeneca PLC
AstraZeneca PLC operates as a global biopharmaceutical leader, dedicated to the entire process of bringing prescription medicines to market, from their initial discovery and development through manufacturing and commercialization. The company's extensive portfolio of treatments, including prominent examples like Tagrisso, Farxiga, and Symbicort, addresses critical areas such as cardiovascular, renal, metabolic, and oncological conditions. Furthermore, it provides essential solutions for COVID-19 and various rare diseases, with products like Vaxzevria and Soliris. AstraZeneca engages with primary and specialty care physicians worldwide, facilitating distribution through a robust network of representatives and local offices across the United Kingdom, continental Europe, the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. The firm actively drives innovation through strategic collaborations, partnering with entities such as Neurimmune AG for the development and commercialization of NI006, BenevolentAI for systemic lupus erythematosus drug discovery, Lunit for AI-powered digital pathology risk assessment in NSCLC, and Absci Corporation for AI-driven oncology target identification. Founded in 1992, the company was initially known as Zeneca Group PLC, subsequently rebranding to AstraZeneca PLC in April 1999, and maintains its headquarters in Cambridge, United Kingdom.
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Drug Manufacturers - General
- CEO
- Pascal Claude Roland Soriot