Amgen Inc. (AMGN) DCF Valuation
Two independent models estimate Amgen Inc.'s fair value between $173.01 (conservative case) and $1,029.89 (analyst consensus).
What would today's price require?
$337.73 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +11.8% a year for the next decade — faster than the company has actually grown.
Current Price
$337.73
Fair-Value Range
$173.01 – $1,029.89
Market-Implied Growth
+11.8%/yr
vs -2.7% 5Y actual
AMGN DCF Fair Value Calculator
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.
Base inputs: FCF $8.7B · 0.56B shares · net debt $45.5B
Estimated Fair Value
$173.01
-48.8% vs $337.73
Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $337.73; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $235 | $251 | $270 | $293 | $321 |
| 9.0% | $190 | $201 | $214 | $229 | $247 |
| 10.0% | $156 | $164 | $173 | $183 | $195 |
| 11.0% | $129 | $135 | $142 | $149 | $157 |
| 12.0% | $108 | $112 | $117 | $122 | $128 |
About Amgen Inc.
Amgen Inc., established in 1980 and headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, is a global biotechnology leader focused on discovering, developing, manufacturing, and delivering groundbreaking human medicines. The company's scientific endeavors span several critical therapeutic categories, including inflammatory conditions, oncology and hematology, bone health, cardiovascular diseases, nephrology, and neuroscience. Its extensive portfolio features a range of significant pharmaceutical products. Notable examples include Enbrel, prescribed for conditions like plaque psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and psoriatic arthritis; Neulasta, which helps cancer patients by reducing the risk of infection linked to a low white blood cell count; Prolia, utilized in postmenopausal women to combat osteoporosis; and Xgeva, designed to prevent skeletal-related complications. Otezla offers relief for adult patients suffering from plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, and oral ulcers associated with Behçet's disease. Aranesp addresses anemia and low red blood cell counts, while KYPROLIS is employed to treat patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma. Furthermore, Repatha plays a vital role in lowering the incidence of major cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction, stroke, and coronary revascularization. Amgen's comprehensive product lineup also encompasses Nplate, Vectibix, MVASI, Parsabiv, EPOGEN, KANJINTI, BLINCYTO, Aimovig, EVENITY, AMGEVITATM, Sensipar/Mimpara, NEUPOGEN, IMLYGIC, Corlanor, and AVSOLA. The company distributes its therapies worldwide, primarily serving healthcare providers, including physicians and their clinics, dialysis centers, hospitals, and pharmacies. Distribution is facilitated through pharmaceutical wholesale distributors, complemented by direct-to-consumer channels. Amgen actively engages in strategic collaborations. It has partnered with entities such as Novartis Pharma AG, UCB, Bayer HealthCare LLC, BeiGene, Ltd., Eli Lilly and Company, Datos Health, and Verastem, Inc., to jointly assess VS-6766 when combined with lumakrastm (Sotorasib) in patients with KRAS G12C-mutant non-small cell lung cancer. Another key alliance involves Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd., for the co-development and commercialization of KHK4083, a Phase 3-ready anti-OX40 fully human monoclonal antibody targeting atopic dermatitis and other autoimmune conditions. Additionally, Amgen maintains research and development partnerships with Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. and Plexium, Inc.
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Drug Manufacturers - General
- CEO
- Robert A. Bradway