Why we don't show a single “fair value” for AGNT
Even the conservative scenario ($16.36) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 9.5%/yr | 12.5% | $16.36 |
| Base case | 12.5%/yr | 11.5% | $20.32 |
| Optimistic | 15.5%/yr | 10.5% | $25.68 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $1.26 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$3.82
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$20.32
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for AGNT (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $191.1M · 0.16B shares · net cash $124.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$20.32
+431.9% vs $3.82
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 12.5%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $3.82; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $23.67 | $24.90 | $26.30 | $27.92 | $29.80 |
| 10.5% | $20.95 | $21.88 | $22.93 | $24.12 | $25.47 |
| 11.5% | $18.79 | $19.51 | $20.32 | $21.22 | $22.23 |
| 12.5% | $17.02 | $17.60 | $18.23 | $18.93 | $19.71 |
| 13.5% | $15.55 | $16.02 | $16.53 | $17.09 | $17.70 |
