AGCO (AGCO) DCF: History & Chart

AGCO Corporation(AGCO)

Agricultural - Machinery · Duluth, GA

$127.31-6.09 (-4.57%)

Delayed quote: Sep 8, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT

About AGCO Corporation

AGCO Corporation operates as a global manufacturer and distributor of essential agricultural machinery and associated replacement components. The company's diverse product portfolio includes a range of tractors: high-horsepower models designed for large-scale operations such as row crop cultivation, soil preparation, planting, land leveling, seeding, and commercial hay production; utility tractors catering to the needs of small to medium-sized farms, as well as specialized sectors like dairy, livestock, orchards, and vineyards; and compact tractors suitable for smaller agricultural ventures, specialty farming, landscaping, equestrian activities, and residential applications. Beyond tractors, AGCO provides comprehensive systems for grain management, encompassing storage bins, drying units, and handling equipment, alongside seed-processing solutions. Its offerings for livestock and poultry include feed storage and delivery systems, advanced ventilation and watering setups, and specialized equipment for egg and broiler production. For the harvesting and packaging of vegetative feeds, vital for industries such as beef cattle, dairy, equine, and renewable fuels, the company supplies an array of equipment. This includes various balers (round and rectangular), loader wagons, self-propelled windrowers, forage harvesters, disc mowers, spreaders, rakes, tedders, and mower conditioners. AGCO's implement division offers disc harrows for seedbed leveling and chemical mixing; heavy tillage equipment for soil breakup and crop residue incorporation; field cultivators for creating smooth seedbeds and weed destruction; drills for small grain seeding; diverse planters and other planting apparatus; and loaders for material handling. Furthermore, the company produces combines specifically engineered for harvesting staple grain crops like corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice. Its application equipment segment features self-propelled, three- and four-wheeled vehicles and related implements for the precise distribution of liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals, both before and after crop emergence. Complementing its core machinery, AGCO also manufactures diesel engines, gears, and generating sets. The company's extensive product line is distributed globally through a network of independent dealers and distributors, marketed under renowned brands such as Challenger, Fendt, GSI, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra. AGCO Corporation was founded in 1990 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Duluth, Georgia.

Duluth, GA

22,000 employees

www.agcocorp.com

Industrials / Agricultural - Machinery

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural - Machinery
CEO: Eric Hansotia

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AGCO Corporation (AGCO) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range

$61.93

$117.67

Model scenario range

$127.31

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values AGCO Corporation (AGCO) between $61.93 and $117.67 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $83.26. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.6%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+11.2%/yr

Actual FCF growth, last 5 years+3.4%/yr

$127.31 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +11.2% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.6% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	0.5%/yr	10.6%	$61.93
Base case	2.7%/yr	9.6%	$83.26
Optimistic	5.7%/yr	8.6%	$117.67
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Sep 9, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$82.26

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$127.31

Market-Implied Growth

+11.2%/yr

vs +3.4% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$61.93 – $117.67

model output — not a price target

AGCO DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for AGCO (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate2.7%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y -15.8% · 5Y 3.4% · 10Y 2.9%

Discount Rate (WACC)9.6%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $517.5M · 0.07B shares · net debt $1.7B

Estimated Fair Value

$83.26

-34.6% vs $127.31

Current price$127.31

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$82.26

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $127.31; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
7.6%	$105	$114	$125	$139	$156
8.6%	$86.73	$93.29	$101	$110	$121
9.6%	$72.92	$77.76	$83.26	$89.59	$96.95
10.6%	$62.15	$65.84	$69.97	$74.63	$79.95
11.6%	$53.52	$56.40	$59.60	$63.15	$67.14