TGM's two-stage DCF values Ascent Industries Co. (ACNT) between $19.32 and $30.01 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $22.94. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$13.90 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -15.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $19.32 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $22.94 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $30.01 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $8.31 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$13.90
Market-Implied Growth
-15.5%/yr
vs -20.8% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$19.32 – $30.01
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for ACNT (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $7.5M · 0.01B shares · net cash $57.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$22.94
+65.0% vs $13.90
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $13.90; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $27.82 | $30.46 | $33.99 | $38.92 | $46.32 |
| 6.5% | $23.51 | $25.10 | $27.09 | $29.64 | $33.03 |
| 7.5% | $20.64 | $21.69 | $22.94 | $24.47 | $26.39 |
| 8.5% | $18.59 | $19.32 | $20.18 | $21.19 | $22.40 |
| 9.5% | $17.05 | $17.59 | $18.21 | $18.91 | $19.74 |
