Deere & Company (DE) Earnings Review

Deere & Company earnings review — the reported quarter's EPS and revenue against the Street's estimates, the forward outlook, margins, cash flow, and valuation reset as of August 20, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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Deere & Company posted EPS of $5.10 versus the $4.71 consensus (a 8.30% surprise) on revenue of $12.61B; whether it changed the thesis depends on the forward setup, not the headline.

The review ties the print to the durable trend: the TTM revenue change is 9.87%, operating margin is 18.97%, and the market pays 34.50x trailing earnings; next-quarter consensus is $4.47 EPS.

  • Deere & Company posted EPS of $5.10 versus the $4.71 consensus — a surprise of 8.30%.
  • Revenue was $12.61B against a $10.81B estimate — a revenue surprise of 16.58%.
  • Trailing-twelve-month revenue change is 9.87% and EPS change is -5.94%.
  • Operating margin is 18.97% and net margin is 10.22%.
  • Next quarter consensus is $4.47 EPS on $10.95B revenue, with the next report due November 25, 2026.

Quarterly Setup

The reported quarter against the Street's estimates, plus the latest TTM trend behind it.

Actual EPS
$5.10
EPS estimate
$4.71
EPS surprise
8.30%
Revenue surprise
16.58%
Revenue TTM growth
9.87%
Operating margin
18.97%

The Read

Deere & Company has reported, and this is the earnings review: what the quarter delivered against the Street's expectations, and what it means for the underlying business. Actual EPS landed at $5.10 against the $4.71 consensus — a surprise of 8.30% — on revenue of $12.61B versus a $10.81B estimate.

An earnings print only matters if it connects to the durable trend. The trailing-twelve-month revenue change is 9.87% while the TTM EPS change is -5.94%, so the rest of this review tests whether the quarter reinforced that direction across cash flow, margins, and the forward setup rather than simply clearing a bar.

Current compounder snapshot · DE

Live supporting context; not part of the article's frozen 2026-08-20 evidence snapshot.

Score
22/100
10Y CAGR
4.7%
Median YoY
6.9%
YoY volatility
σ 17.8pp· uneven
Quarters ≥ 20%
10 of 40
Negative quarters
15
Valuation vs own 10Y history
P/S 3.5x · 10Y median 1.9x · 98th percentile · as of Aug 20, 2026
How this score is computed
  • Quarters at or above 20%: 10 of 40 10 of 40 pts
  • Steadiness (typical swing 17.8pp) → 12.3 of 25 pts
  • Pace (median 6.9% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
  • Latest quarter (7% YoY) → 0 of 15 pts
  • Score: 22 of 100

Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 40

$0.00$20.00B$40.00B$60.00B$80.00B20172019202120232025

Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line

-40%-20%0%20%40%20%20172019202120232025

P/S multiple vs its 10Y median

0.5x1x1.5x2x2.5x3x3.5x4x10Y median 1.9x20172019202120232025

DE compounder charts →All consistent compounders →

The Quarter Reported

Start with the scorecard. Deere & Company posted EPS of $5.10 against the $4.71 analysts modeled, an EPS surprise of 8.30%, while revenue of $12.61B compared with the $10.81B consensus for a revenue surprise of 16.58%.

The two surprises together say more than either alone, because a revenue-led result is more durable than one carried by a tax item or a share-count effect on EPS. This section treats the print as a data point about execution against expectations; whether it changed the thesis is decided by the trend lines and the forward outlook below.

Earnings scorecard: reported vs expected

The quarter's actual EPS and revenue against the Street's consensus, with the forward-quarter setup.

Quarterly EPS

Reported
$5.10
Street estimate
$4.71

Quarterly revenue

Reported
$12.61B
Street estimate
$10.81B

Next quarter — EPS consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$4.47

Next quarter — revenue consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$10.95B
TTM revenue

DE TTM revenue Chart

$47.68B

TTM revenue keeps the quarterly review focused on the most recent four-quarter business base.

+10.80% over 5Y

Latest revenue TTM growth: 9.87%.

Revenue TTM growth of 9.87% is the first quarterly-review checkpoint. It shows whether the latest reported periods are still adding to the business base.

Revenue And Earnings Direction

The TTM revenue change of 9.87% is most useful beside the net income change of -6.41%. When sales and earnings move apart, the review shifts from a growth story to a margin story. The EPS change of -5.94% then shows what the latest reporting cycle actually delivered per share after buybacks and mix.

TTM net income

DE TTM net income Chart

$4.87B

Net income TTM history checks whether revenue momentum is reaching the bottom line.

-18.29% over 5Y

Latest net income TTM growth: -6.41%.

Net income TTM growth of -6.41% is the earnings-conversion check. If it diverges from revenue growth, the review should focus on margins rather than only sales.

EPS

DE EPS Chart

$18.56

EPS connects reported earnings momentum to the per-share outcome.

-3.03% over 5Y

Latest EPS TTM growth: -5.94%.

EPS TTM growth of -5.94% shows what the recent reporting cycle delivered per share. It is most useful beside revenue and margin data, not as a standalone verdict.

Cash Flow Conversion

Cash conversion is the honesty check on the earnings line. The free-cash-flow change of -13.02% either confirms the EPS result or challenges it, and an earnings review is incomplete when it reports a beat or miss without asking whether cash generation moved the same way.

TTM free cash flow

DE TTM free cash flow Chart

$3.77B

Free cash flow TTM is the cash-conversion counterpoint to earnings momentum.

-28.74% over 5Y

Latest FCF TTM growth: -13.02%.

Free-cash-flow TTM growth of -13.02% can confirm or challenge the earnings story. A quarterly review is incomplete if cash conversion is moving differently from EPS.

Margin Quality

Margin quality decides whether the revenue base is becoming more profitable. Operating margin is 18.97%, gross margin is 35.74%, and net margin is 10.22%. The margin chart belongs here because this is the section that explains why earnings can diverge from sales after a print.

operating margin

DE operating margin

20.56%

Operating margin shows whether the latest revenue base is becoming more or less profitable.

+13.8pp over 10Y

Operating margin (TTM): 18.97%. The bars below are individual quarters, so the latest bar can differ from this trailing-twelve-month figure.

Operating margin (TTM) of 18.97% is the quality read across the last four quarters. The review should become more cautious if growth is present but margin quality is fading.

Forward Outlook

The market trades on the next quarter, not the last one. Consensus models $4.47 in EPS and $10.95B in revenue for the coming quarter, with the next report due November 25, 2026. The forward setup is what turns a backward-looking print into a thesis: a result paired with a soft forward bar reads very differently from one paired with a rising one.

Comparing the just-reported quarter against that forward estimate is one way to test whether expectations are catching up to the business or running ahead of it. The TTM revenue change of 9.87% is the reference point; estimate uncertainty and reporting-basis differences remain limitations.

Valuation Reset

Valuation resets with every print. The market is paying 34.50x trailing earnings and the free-cash-flow yield is 2.24%. A quarter matters most when the valuation has not already priced every improvement in advance, so the multiple is the lens that decides how much the surprise should move the view.

P/E ratio

DE P/E ratio Chart

34.50x

P/E history keeps the quarterly review connected to what investors are paying for the updated fundamentals.

+42.44% over 5Y

Latest P/E ratio: 34.50x.

The P/E ratio at 34.50x is the market's price on the quarterly evidence. Improving fundamentals matter more when the multiple does not already assume too much progress.

Bull/Bear Case

The bull case is that revenue, earnings, cash flow, and margins moved together this quarter while the valuation at 34.50x remains explainable against the forward setup. The bear case is a split between reported earnings and cash generation, or a forward bar that asks too much of the next print. The case work sits before the final read so the review does not end as a recap.

Bull and bear case

Quarterly support

  • Revenue TTM growth of 9.87% supports the latest operating momentum.
  • Net margin of 10.22% keeps the quarterly review connected to earnings quality.

Quarterly pressure

  • Free-cash-flow TTM growth of -13.02% can weaken the read if cash conversion lags earnings.
  • The valuation still has to be checked against a P/E ratio of 34.50x.

Final Read

The earnings review is useful only when the print, the trend lines, cash conversion, margin quality, the forward outlook, and the valuation reset tell a coherent story. The source snapshot is dated August 20, 2026. This TGMCharts Research note uses reported fundamentals, linked source pages, and chart exhibits only — a structured read on the reported quarter, not a forecast or personalized investment advice.

FAQ

Did DE beat or miss earnings estimates last quarter?

Deere & Company posted EPS of $5.10 against the $4.71 consensus — an EPS surprise of 8.30% — on revenue of $12.61B versus the $10.81B estimate, a revenue surprise of 16.58%.

What is the forward outlook for DE after the print?

Consensus models $4.47 in EPS on $10.95B in revenue for the coming quarter, with the next report due November 25, 2026. The TTM revenue change of 9.87% is the reference for judging whether that bar is conservative or demanding.

What would make this DE earnings review stale?

If the next data update materially changes the reported-quarter figures, forward estimates, margins, or valuation inputs, this note is corrected or withdrawn rather than left stale. Figures are as of August 20, 2026.

What would change our mind

  • The next report due November 25, 2026 versus the $4.47 EPS consensus.
  • Free-cash-flow TTM change versus the EPS TTM change of -5.94%.
  • Operating margin or valuation moving away from 18.97% and 34.50x.

The bottom line

Deere & Company earnings-report review from TGMCharts Research: the reported quarter versus consensus, the forward setup, and what it means for the business — every figure checked against the company's reported data.

Read next: DE fundamentalsContinue with Deere & Company's full stock page.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-05-28 · period 2026-05-03 · SEC EDGAR source

  • Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash decreased $398 during the first six months of 2026.
  • Trade receivables increased $2,254 during the first six months of 2026, primarily due to a seasonal increase and higher sales volumes.
  • These receivables increased $823 compared to a year ago due to higher sales volumes.
  • Financing receivables and equipment on operating leases decreased $2,476 during the first six months of 2026 and decreased $1,600 in the past 12 months.
Full methodology