Is Apple Inc. (AAPL) Overvalued?
Apple Inc. valuation review using P/E, fair value, revenue growth, EPS growth, net margin, and TGMCharts chart exhibits as of June 24, 2026.
By TGMCharts Research / 4 min read / Data as of / Updated
Valuation read
Apple Inc. does not get a one-metric verdict. The stock trades at 35.44x trailing earnings and the TGMCharts fair-value model is $155, so the valuation read depends on whether growth and margins support that price.
The core evidence is the relationship between price, earnings, fair value, and business support. Five-year revenue CAGR is 6.76%, five-year EPS CAGR is 17.73%, and net margin is 27.15%. Those facts decide whether the multiple is defensible or stretched.
What to watch
- A material move away from the fair-value anchor of $155.
- A break in five-year EPS support, currently 17.73%.
- Margin quality drifting away from the latest net margin of 27.15%.
From the latest filing
10-Q · filed 2026-05-01 · period 2026-03-28 · SEC EDGAR source
- “Business Seasonality and Product Introductions The Company has historically experienced higher net sales in its first quarter compared to other quarters in its fiscal year due in part to seasonal holiday demand.”
- “Additionally, new product and service introductions can significantly impact net sales, cost of sales and operating expenses.”
- “The timing of product introductions can also impact the Company's net sales to its indirect distribution channels as these channels are filled with new inventory following a product launch, and channel inventory of an older product often declines as the launch of a newer product approaches.”
- “Net sales can also be affected when consumers and distributors anticipate a product introduction.”
Key takeaways
- -Apple Inc. closed at $293 on June 24, 2026.
- -Trailing P/E is 35.44x and price-to-sales is 9.59x.
- -Model fair value is $155 with margin of safety at -47.08%.
- -Five-year revenue CAGR is 6.76% and five-year EPS CAGR is 17.73%.
- -Earnings yield is 2.82% and net margin is 27.15%.
Valuation snapshot
The market price, model anchor, growth support, and profitability facts behind the valuation read.
Executive Summary
Apple Inc. should be read as a valuation question with a specific burden of proof: does the market price have enough earnings, growth, and margin support to justify the multiple? The stock closed at $293 on June 24, 2026, trades at 35.44x trailing earnings, and carries a TGMCharts model margin of safety of -47.08%.
The answer cannot come from one ratio. This note treats P/E, fair value, price-to-sales, earnings yield, revenue growth, EPS growth, and margin quality as a linked evidence set. If those lines reinforce each other, the valuation can be defended with more confidence; if they split, the final read has to stay cautious.
Price And Multiple Context
The price and multiple section asks what the market is paying before judging whether that price is justified. Price-to-sales is 9.59x and earnings yield is 2.82%, so the first chart group keeps the market price, P/E history, and sales multiple in the same frame rather than treating the headline P/E as the whole story.
Supporting exhibit 2
Exhibit: AAPL price history
The price chart shows whether the valuation question is being driven by recent share-price movement.
Latest close: $293 as of June 24, 2026.
AAPL Price Chart
The close at $293 is the market anchor for this note. The fair-value model sits at $155, so the price chart helps separate a business-quality question from a market-entry-price question.
Primary exhibit
Exhibit: AAPL P/E ratio history
The trailing earnings multiple is the main valuation exhibit because it connects the market price to reported earnings.
Latest P/E ratio: 35.44x as of June 24, 2026.
AAPL AAPL P/E ratio Chart
The trailing earnings multiple is the main valuation exhibit because it connects the market price to reported earnings.
A P/E ratio of 35.44x has to be judged against the company's five-year EPS CAGR of 17.73%. If the multiple is high while EPS support is ordinary, the valuation thesis becomes more dependent on investor confidence than on fresh earnings power.
Supporting exhibit 3
Exhibit: AAPL price-to-sales history
Price-to-sales gives a second valuation lens when margins and earnings can move around the cycle.
Latest price-to-sales ratio: 9.59x.
AAPL AAPL price-to-sales Chart
Price-to-sales gives a second valuation lens when margins and earnings can move around the cycle.
Price-to-sales at 9.59x is most useful beside net margin of 27.15%. A richer sales multiple is easier to defend when margin quality is durable rather than temporarily elevated.
Fair Value And Margin Of Safety
The fair-value section is the explicit counterweight to the market multiple. The stored model fair value is $155 and the margin of safety is -47.08%. That does not settle the case, but it tells the reader whether the valuation debate starts from a discount, a premium, or a narrow gap that needs business quality to carry more of the argument.
Valuation evidence table
A compact cross-check of price, model value, growth, and profitability support.
Counterpoint exhibit 4
Exhibit: AAPL earnings yield history
Earnings yield reframes valuation from an owner's-yield perspective rather than a multiple perspective.
Latest earnings yield: 2.82%.
AAPL AAPL earnings yield Chart
Earnings yield reframes valuation from an owner's-yield perspective rather than a multiple perspective.
The earnings yield of 2.82% is the counterweight to the P/E ratio. If the yield is thin relative to the quality and growth profile, the valuation case needs more help from future compounding.
Growth Support
Growth support has to show up in both the top line and the per-share outcome. Five-year revenue CAGR is 6.76% and five-year EPS CAGR is 17.73%. The revenue and EPS exhibits sit here because this is where the valuation note decides whether the multiple is being supported by actual business expansion or mainly by investor willingness to pay more.
Supporting exhibit 5
Exhibit: AAPL revenue history
Revenue history tests whether the valuation is being supported by real business expansion.
Five-year revenue CAGR: 6.76%.
AAPL revenue
Revenue history tests whether the valuation is being supported by real business expansion.
Revenue growth is the business-expansion evidence behind the valuation read. A five-year revenue CAGR of 6.76% helps show how much of the valuation story is coming from company growth instead of only multiple expansion.
Supporting exhibit 6
Exhibit: AAPL EPS history
EPS history checks whether reported earnings are keeping pace with the market multiple.
Five-year EPS CAGR: 17.73%.
AAPL EPS
EPS history checks whether reported earnings are keeping pace with the market multiple.
A five-year EPS CAGR of 17.73% is the clearest support figure for a P/E-based conclusion. If EPS growth slows while the multiple remains elevated, the article should become more cautious after refresh.
Margin Quality
Margin quality is the bridge between sales growth and earnings value. Net margin is 27.15% and price-to-sales is 9.59x, so this section reads profitability beside the sales multiple. A richer sales multiple is easier to defend when profitability is durable. If margins are already elevated, the valuation read should leave room for pressure even when the recent earnings record looks strong.
Supporting exhibit 7
Exhibit: AAPL net margin history
Net margin shows whether the company has enough profitability quality to support its valuation.
Latest net margin: 27.15%.
AAPL net margin
Net margin shows whether the company has enough profitability quality to support its valuation.
Net margin of 27.15% is a quality signal, not a valuation verdict by itself. It matters because a premium multiple is more defensible when margins are structurally strong and less defensible when margins are peaking.
Bull/Bear Valuation Case
The bull case is that revenue growth, EPS growth, and margin quality continue to support the current multiple. The bear case is that the P/E ratio and fair-value gap ask too much of the business if growth slows or margins normalize. Keeping both cases visible prevents the valuation note from becoming either a price chart recap or a model-output recap.
Bull and bear case
Valuation support
- Five-year revenue CAGR of 6.76% and five-year EPS CAGR of 17.73% support the business case.
- Net margin of 27.15% is the quality check behind the multiple.
Valuation pressure
- A P/E ratio of 35.44x can become demanding if EPS growth slows.
- The model margin of safety at -47.08% should change the valuation read if it deteriorates after refresh.
What Would Change The View
The valuation read should change if the fair-value model moves, if the latest close moves materially away from $155, or if revenue and EPS growth break from the stored trend. The daily precompute is the source of truth for that refresh, and the published article should be held back or marked stale before the claim ledger drifts away from current fundamentals.
Final Research Read
The final read is that Apple Inc. needs valuation support from more than one place: the market multiple, the fair-value model, growth, and margin quality all have to keep pointing in the same direction. This research insight is generated from precomputed TGMCharts fundamentals, internal chart routes, and resolved stat tokens. It is general research context only, not personalized investment advice or a buy or sell call.
Research trail
Continue through the source pages behind this research note.
FAQ
Is AAPL overvalued?
Apple Inc. trades at 35.44x trailing earnings with a model margin of safety of -47.08%. The cleanest read comes from comparing that valuation to five-year revenue CAGR of 6.76% and five-year EPS CAGR of 17.73%.
What valuation metric matters most for AAPL?
This article anchors on P/E, fair value, margin of safety, price-to-sales, earnings yield, revenue growth, and EPS growth. No single metric is treated as a recommendation.
How often should this AAPL valuation view refresh?
The article should refresh after the daily TGMCharts precompute job because the stored close, fair value, and claim ledger are dated to June 24, 2026.
Claim ledger
Every numeric or dated claim in this note was resolved from precomputed TGMCharts data before publishing.
Research snapshot
Extractable thesis
Apple Inc. does not get a one-metric verdict. The stock trades at 35.44x trailing earnings and the TGMCharts fair-value model is $155, so the valuation read depends on whether growth and margins support that price.
Data snapshot: 2026-06-24 / byline: TGMCharts Research / article status: published