TGM's two-stage DCF values Visteon Corporation (VC) between $105.06 and $164.00 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $129.79. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (10.6%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$89.31 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -3.9% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 10.6% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3.6%/yr | 11.6% | $105.06 |
| Base case | 6.6%/yr | 10.6% | $129.79 |
| Optimistic | 9.6%/yr | 9.6% | $164.00 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $205.00 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$89.31
Market-Implied Growth
-3.9%/yr
vs +7.8% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$105.06 – $164.00
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for VC (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $209.5M · 0.03B shares · net cash $340.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$129.79
+45.3% vs $89.31
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 6.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $89.31; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | $151 | $160 | $169 | $181 | $194 |
| 9.6% | $134 | $140 | $147 | $155 | $164 |
| 10.6% | $120 | $125 | $130 | $136 | $143 |
| 11.6% | $109 | $113 | $117 | $121 | $126 |
| 12.6% | $99.87 | $103 | $106 | $110 | $113 |
