TGM's two-stage DCF values Teradata Corporation (TDC) between $53.80 and $97.76 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $68.68. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$30.14 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -16.4% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $53.80 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 7.5% | $68.68 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 6.5% | $97.76 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 2, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $47.01 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$30.14
Market-Implied Growth
-16.4%/yr
vs -2.6% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$53.80 – $97.76
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TDC (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $320.5M · 0.09B shares · net cash $33.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$68.68
+127.9% vs $30.14
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $30.14; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $88.72 | $99.61 | $114 | $134 | $165 |
| 6.5% | $71.01 | $77.55 | $85.72 | $96.21 | $110 |
| 7.5% | $59.21 | $63.52 | $68.68 | $74.98 | $82.85 |
| 8.5% | $50.78 | $53.80 | $57.32 | $61.47 | $66.45 |
| 9.5% | $44.45 | $46.67 | $49.20 | $52.12 | $55.52 |
