TGM's two-stage DCF values Taylor Devices, Inc. (TAYD) between $25.69 and $45.30 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $33.63. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (8.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$60.29 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +25.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 8.9% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.2%/yr | 9.9% | $25.69 |
| Base case | 10.2%/yr | 8.9% | $33.63 |
| Optimistic | 13.2%/yr | 7.9% | $45.30 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $28.71 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$60.29
Market-Implied Growth
+25.1%/yr
vs +10.2% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$25.69 – $45.30
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for TAYD (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $4.9M · 0.00B shares · net cash $904823
Estimated Fair Value
$33.63
-44.2% vs $60.29
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.2%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $60.29; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | $41.47 | $45.05 | $49.45 | $54.97 | $62.10 |
| 7.9% | $34.77 | $37.19 | $40.07 | $43.52 | $47.75 |
| 8.9% | $29.89 | $31.63 | $33.63 | $35.96 | $38.73 |
| 9.9% | $26.19 | $27.47 | $28.94 | $30.61 | $32.53 |
| 10.9% | $23.28 | $24.26 | $25.37 | $26.61 | $28.02 |
