Safran (SAFRY) DCF: History & Chart

Safran S.A.(SAFRY)

Aerospace & Defense · Paris, IF

$99.58-0.10 (-0.10%)

Delayed quote: Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM EDT

About Safran S.A.

Safran S.A. operates as a leading global entity within the aerospace and defense industries, conducting its business through three primary segments. The Aerospace Propulsion division is dedicated to the full lifecycle – from design and development to production and commercialization – of engine and mechanical power transmission systems. These systems are integral to a diverse range of aerial platforms, encompassing commercial airliners, military transport aircraft, training and combat jets, civil and military helicopters, and unmanned aerial vehicles (drones). This segment also provides crucial maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, in addition to supplying essential spare parts. The Aircraft Equipment, Defense and Aerosystems segment delivers a wide array of specialized components and systems. This includes critical undercarriage and braking systems, as well as engine peripherals such as thrust reversers and nacelles (engine casings). It also supplies advanced avionics, like flight control and onboard information systems; vital safety equipment, including emergency evacuation slides, arresting systems, and oxygen masks; integrated onboard computing and fuel systems; and sophisticated electrical power management solutions, along with associated engineering support. For defense applications, this segment offers optronic equipment, targeting sights, navigation systems, sensors, solutions for ground forces, and military drones. Its offerings of spare parts cater to both civilian and military aircraft and helicopters. Lastly, the Aircraft Interiors segment specializes in the creation, manufacturing, and distribution of cabin elements. This includes passenger and crew seating, overhead storage compartments, cabin dividers, passenger service units, and comprehensive interior outfitting solutions. It also produces chilling systems, galleys, electrical inserts, trolleys, and cargo equipment. Furthermore, this segment provides water distribution systems, lavatories, air conditioning systems, and state-of-the-art in-flight entertainment and connectivity (IFEC) solutions. Founded in 1924, Safran S.A. maintains its corporate headquarters in Paris, France.

Paris, IF

110,535 employees

www.safran-group.com

Industrials / Aerospace & Defense

Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense
CEO: Olivier Andries

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Safran S.A. (SAFRY) DCF Valuation

Price is ABOVE the estimated range

$38.51

$66.35

Model scenario range

$99.58

Today's price

TGM's two-stage DCF values Safran S.A. (SAFRY) between $38.51 and $66.35 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $49.84. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.1%) reflects its beta.

What would today's price require?

Growth the price assumes+29.8%/yr

Actual revenue growth, last 5 years+11.6%/yr

$99.58 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +29.8% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.1% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.

Scenario	FCF growth (fading to 2.5%)	Discount	Value / share
Conservative	8.6%/yr	10.1%	$38.51
Base case	11.6%/yr	9.1%	$49.84
Optimistic	14.6%/yr	8.1%	$66.35
Third-party model estimate (FMP)	independent reference · retrieved Aug 28, 2026 · assumptions not provided		$50.23

The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$99.58

Market-Implied Growth

+29.8%/yr

vs +11.6% 5Y actual

Model Scenario Range

$38.51 – $66.35

model output — not a price target

SAFRY DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for SAFRY (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.

FCF Growth Rate11.6%/yr

Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 17.0% · 5Y 25.3% · 10Y 8.7%

Discount Rate (WACC)9.1%

Terminal Growth2.5%

Projection Years10yr

Base inputs: FCF $3.5B · 1.66B shares · net cash $2.6B

Estimated Fair Value

$49.84

-49.9% vs $99.58

Current price$99.58

Third-party model estimate (FMP)$50.23

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 11.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $99.58; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →	1.50%	2.00%	2.50%	3.00%	3.50%
7.1%	$60.92	$65.89	$71.92	$79.42	$89.00
8.1%	$51.50	$54.90	$58.90	$63.68	$69.49
9.1%	$44.58	$47.02	$49.84	$53.11	$56.97
10.1%	$39.28	$41.11	$43.18	$45.54	$48.26
11.1%	$35.10	$36.51	$38.09	$39.85	$41.85