TGM's two-stage DCF values Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) between $65.94 and $163.24 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $105.73. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.3%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$159.87 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +17.4% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.3% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.5%/yr | 10.3% | $65.94 |
| Base case | 10.5%/yr | 9.3% | $105.73 |
| Optimistic | 13.5%/yr | 8.3% | $163.24 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 2, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $220.23 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$159.87
Market-Implied Growth
+17.4%/yr
vs +6.5% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$65.94 – $163.24
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for RRX (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $548.0M · 0.07B shares · net debt $4.4B
Estimated Fair Value
$105.73
-33.9% vs $159.87
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.5%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $159.87; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | $144 | $161 | $181 | $206 | $237 |
| 8.3% | $112 | $123 | $137 | $153 | $172 |
| 9.3% | $87.63 | $96.06 | $106 | $117 | $130 |
| 10.3% | $69.16 | $75.52 | $82.69 | $90.82 | $100 |
| 11.3% | $54.50 | $59.44 | $64.92 | $71.06 | $77.97 |