TGM's two-stage DCF values Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) between $317.69 and $680.01 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $459.58. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$394.53 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +7.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.9% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7.0%/yr | 8.9% | $317.69 |
| Base case | 10.0%/yr | 7.9% | $459.58 |
| Optimistic | 13.0%/yr | 6.9% | $680.01 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 5, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $1,142.21 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$394.53
Market-Implied Growth
+7.0%/yr
vs +9.9% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$317.69 – $680.01
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for ROP (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $2.1B · 0.10B shares · net debt $9.0B
Estimated Fair Value
$459.58
+16.5% vs $394.53
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 10.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $394.53; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | $613 | $692 | $795 | $932 | $1126 |
| 6.9% | $479 | $528 | $589 | $665 | $763 |
| 7.9% | $387 | $420 | $460 | $507 | $566 |
| 8.9% | $319 | $343 | $371 | $403 | $441 |
| 9.9% | $268 | $286 | $306 | $329 | $356 |
