Why we don't show a single “fair value” for NEXN
Even the conservative scenario ($17.52) sits far above today's price — trailing cash flows may be cyclically elevated. Off today's cash-flow base, no plausible growth rate bridges to the current price — the market is valuing normalized future cash flows, not the depressed base. The model scenarios below are shown for reference only.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 2.7%/yr | 12.5% | $17.52 |
| Base case | 5.7%/yr | 11.5% | $21.38 |
| Optimistic | 8.7%/yr | 10.5% | $26.59 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $17.44 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$8.72
Market-Implied Growth
N/A
Base-Case Model Value
$21.38
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for NEXN (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $82.9M · 0.06B shares · net cash $120.0M
Estimated Fair Value
$21.38
+145.3% vs $8.72
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $8.72; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | $24.53 | $25.69 | $27.00 | $28.52 | $30.29 |
| 10.5% | $21.98 | $22.85 | $23.84 | $24.95 | $26.22 |
| 11.5% | $19.94 | $20.62 | $21.38 | $22.22 | $23.17 |
| 12.5% | $18.27 | $18.82 | $19.41 | $20.07 | $20.81 |
| 13.5% | $16.88 | $17.33 | $17.81 | $18.33 | $18.91 |
