TGM's two-stage DCF values National Energy Services Reunited Corp. (NESR) between $24.08 and $49.08 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $33.70. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$24.84 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +5.8% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 9.6%/yr | 8.5% | $24.08 |
| Base case | 12.6%/yr | 7.5% | $33.70 |
| Optimistic | 15.6%/yr | 6.5% | $49.08 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $73.34 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$24.84
Market-Implied Growth
+5.8%/yr
vs +12.2% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$24.08 – $49.08
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for NESR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $114.8M · 0.10B shares · net debt $206.7M
Estimated Fair Value
$33.70
+35.7% vs $24.84
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 12.6%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $24.84; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $44.72 | $50.69 | $58.65 | $69.79 | $86.49 |
| 6.5% | $34.99 | $38.57 | $43.05 | $48.80 | $56.45 |
| 7.5% | $28.52 | $30.88 | $33.70 | $37.15 | $41.46 |
| 8.5% | $23.91 | $25.56 | $27.48 | $29.75 | $32.47 |
| 9.5% | $20.47 | $21.68 | $23.06 | $24.64 | $26.50 |