TGM's two-stage DCF values L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) between $107.09 and $249.81 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $162.98. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.9%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$245.54 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +11.4% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.9% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.7%/yr | 8.9% | $107.09 |
| Base case | 3.7%/yr | 7.9% | $162.98 |
| Optimistic | 6.7%/yr | 6.9% | $249.81 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Sep 11, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $285.76 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$245.54
Market-Implied Growth
+11.4%/yr
vs +2.8% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$107.09 – $249.81
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LHX (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $2.0B · 0.19B shares · net debt $10.2B
Estimated Fair Value
$162.98
-33.6% vs $245.54
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 3.7%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $245.54; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | $222 | $253 | $292 | $345 | $419 |
| 6.9% | $170 | $189 | $213 | $242 | $280 |
| 7.9% | $135 | $148 | $163 | $181 | $204 |
| 8.9% | $109 | $118 | $129 | $141 | $156 |
| 9.9% | $89.17 | $96.03 | $104 | $113 | $123 |