A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Liberty Global plc (LBTYB) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$12.41 is justified only if free cash flow grows about -13.8% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.8% required return.
Current Price
$12.41
Market-Implied Growth
-13.8%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for LBTYB (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $1.2B · 0.31B shares · net debt $7.3B
Estimated Fair Value
$59.46
+379.2% vs $12.41
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $12.41; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | $82.79 | $94.94 | $111 | $132 | $163 |
| 6.8% | $62.34 | $69.87 | $79.14 | $90.84 | $106 |
| 7.8% | $48.39 | $53.45 | $59.46 | $66.72 | $75.65 |
| 8.8% | $38.27 | $41.87 | $46.04 | $50.92 | $56.72 |
| 9.8% | $30.60 | $33.27 | $36.31 | $39.78 | $43.80 |
