TGM's two-stage DCF values Inter Parfums, Inc. (IPAR) between $64.27 and $110.34 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $83.32. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.8%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$112.85 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +22.6% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.8% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 11.9%/yr | 10.8% | $64.27 |
| Base case | 14.9%/yr | 9.8% | $83.32 |
| Optimistic | 17.9%/yr | 8.8% | $110.34 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $43.61 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$112.85
Market-Implied Growth
+22.6%/yr
vs +14.9% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$64.27 – $110.34
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for IPAR (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $117.7M · 0.03B shares · net debt $49.6M
Estimated Fair Value
$83.32
-26.2% vs $112.85
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 14.9%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $112.85; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | $101 | $109 | $118 | $129 | $142 |
| 8.8% | $86.24 | $91.58 | $97.77 | $105 | $114 |
| 9.8% | $74.86 | $78.82 | $83.32 | $88.47 | $94.43 |
| 10.8% | $65.97 | $69.00 | $72.39 | $76.21 | $80.54 |
| 11.8% | $58.83 | $61.21 | $63.84 | $66.76 | $70.02 |
