TGM's two-stage DCF values Information Services Group, Inc. (III) between $2.43 and $4.28 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $3.09. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use) (floored at 2%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.7%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$5.71 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +15.1% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.7% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 10.7% | $2.43 |
| Base case | 2.0%/yr | 9.7% | $3.09 |
| Optimistic | 5.0%/yr | 8.7% | $4.28 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $2.75 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$5.71
Market-Implied Growth
+15.1%/yr
vs -1.1% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$2.43 – $4.28
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for III (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $12.9M · 0.05B shares · net debt $32.8M
Estimated Fair Value
$3.09
-46.0% vs $5.71
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 2.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $5.71; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | $3.84 | $4.15 | $4.53 | $4.99 | $5.56 |
| 8.7% | $3.21 | $3.43 | $3.69 | $4.00 | $4.36 |
| 9.7% | $2.73 | $2.90 | $3.09 | $3.30 | $3.55 |
| 10.7% | $2.36 | $2.49 | $2.63 | $2.79 | $2.97 |
| 11.7% | $2.06 | $2.16 | $2.27 | $2.39 | $2.53 |
