TGM's two-stage DCF values Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN) between $223.80 and $448.29 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $317.85. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth (capped at 18%)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$159.63 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +3.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 15.0%/yr | 8.5% | $223.80 |
| Base case | 18.0%/yr | 7.5% | $317.85 |
| Optimistic | 20.0%/yr | 6.5% | $448.29 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $422.91 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$159.63
Market-Implied Growth
+3.5%/yr
vs +22.3% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$223.80 – $448.29
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for HURN (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $141.5M · 0.02B shares · net debt $485.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$317.85
+99.1% vs $159.63
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 18.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $159.63; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $427 | $487 | $566 | $677 | $843 |
| 6.5% | $331 | $366 | $411 | $468 | $544 |
| 7.5% | $266 | $290 | $318 | $352 | $395 |
| 8.5% | $221 | $237 | $256 | $279 | $306 |
| 9.5% | $187 | $199 | $212 | $228 | $246 |
