TGM's two-stage DCF values DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) between $49.19 and $115.45 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $76.23. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (9.2%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$193.32 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +35.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 9.2% required return — faster than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 13.8%/yr | 10.2% | $49.19 |
| Base case | 16.8%/yr | 9.2% | $76.23 |
| Optimistic | 19.8%/yr | 8.2% | $115.45 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $186.86 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$193.32
Market-Implied Growth
+35.3%/yr
vs +16.8% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$49.19 – $115.45
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for DXPE (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $65.6M · 0.02B shares · net debt $607.5M
Estimated Fair Value
$76.23
-60.6% vs $193.32
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 16.8%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $193.32; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | $103 | $115 | $129 | $147 | $170 |
| 8.2% | $80.29 | $88.46 | $98.04 | $109 | $123 |
| 9.2% | $63.54 | $69.45 | $76.23 | $84.09 | $93.32 |
| 10.2% | $50.70 | $55.13 | $60.13 | $65.82 | $72.35 |
| 11.2% | $40.55 | $43.98 | $47.79 | $52.06 | $56.88 |
