TGM's two-stage DCF values Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. (CPIX) between $5.90 and $11.09 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $7.90. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$7.22 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +1.3% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.5%/yr | 8.5% | $5.90 |
| Base case | 3.5%/yr | 7.5% | $7.90 |
| Optimistic | 6.5%/yr | 6.5% | $11.09 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $1.01 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$7.22
Market-Implied Growth
+1.3%/yr
vs +3.5% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$5.90 – $11.09
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CPIX (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $5.2M · 0.01B shares · net cash $6.2M
Estimated Fair Value
$7.90
+9.4% vs $7.22
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 3.5%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $7.22; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $10.11 | $11.31 | $12.91 | $15.15 | $18.50 |
| 6.5% | $8.15 | $8.87 | $9.78 | $10.93 | $12.47 |
| 7.5% | $6.85 | $7.33 | $7.90 | $8.59 | $9.46 |
| 8.5% | $5.92 | $6.25 | $6.64 | $7.10 | $7.65 |
| 9.5% | $5.22 | $5.47 | $5.75 | $6.07 | $6.44 |
