TGM's two-stage DCF values Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP) between $108.90 and $236.25 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $157.92. Growth is taken from the company's own record (blend of 5-year revenue and FCF growth), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$109.10 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +6.5% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 11.0%/yr | 8.5% | $108.90 |
| Base case | 14.0%/yr | 7.5% | $157.92 |
| Optimistic | 17.0%/yr | 6.5% | $236.25 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Aug 29, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $119.98 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$109.10
Market-Implied Growth
+6.5%/yr
vs +14.4% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$108.90 – $236.25
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CCEP (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $2.4B · 0.44B shares · net debt $10.7B
Estimated Fair Value
$157.92
+44.7% vs $109.10
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 14.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $109.10; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $214 | $245 | $286 | $343 | $428 |
| 6.5% | $165 | $183 | $206 | $235 | $274 |
| 7.5% | $131 | $143 | $158 | $176 | $198 |
| 8.5% | $108 | $116 | $126 | $138 | $152 |
| 9.5% | $90.23 | $96.41 | $103 | $112 | $121 |