TGM's two-stage DCF values CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. (CCC) between $5.88 and $13.42 depending on assumptions, with a base case of $8.78. Growth is taken from the company's own record (5-year revenue CAGR (FCF growth too volatile to use)), fading to 2.5% long-run; the discount rate (7.5%) reflects its beta.
What would today's price require?
$6.58 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +6.0% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return — slower than the company has actually grown.
| Scenario | FCF growth (fading to 2.5%) | Discount | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 8.4%/yr | 8.5% | $5.88 |
| Base case | 11.4%/yr | 7.5% | $8.78 |
| Optimistic | 14.4%/yr | 6.5% | $13.42 |
| Third-party model estimate (FMP) | independent reference · retrieved Oct 6, 2026 · assumptions not provided | $2.15 | |
The FMP figure is a third-party point estimate. Its cash-flow forecast, discount rate, terminal growth, and valuation date are not included in the stored response, so TGMCharts presents it only as a reference—not as an intrinsic-value conclusion or price target.
Current Price
$6.58
Market-Implied Growth
+6.0%/yr
vs +11.4% 5Y actual
Model Scenario Range
$5.88 – $13.42
model output — not a price target
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for CCC (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $212.9M · 0.59B shares · net debt $1.2B
Estimated Fair Value
$8.78
+33.5% vs $6.58
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 11.4%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $6.58; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $12.10 | $13.89 | $16.29 | $19.64 | $24.66 |
| 6.5% | $9.17 | $10.25 | $11.59 | $13.32 | $15.63 |
| 7.5% | $7.22 | $7.93 | $8.78 | $9.82 | $11.12 |
| 8.5% | $5.84 | $6.33 | $6.91 | $7.59 | $8.41 |
| 9.5% | $4.80 | $5.16 | $5.58 | $6.06 | $6.61 |
