A meaningful DCF fair value isn't available for Aldel Financial II Inc. (ALDF) — its free-cash-flow and net-debt profile makes a standard discounted-cash-flow model unreliable (common for loss-makers and high-net-debt or recently-public companies), and no analyst DCF is published. Explore your own assumptions with the editable model below.
What would today's price require?
$10.82 is justified only if free cash flow grows about +28.2% a year (fading to 2.5% long-run) at a 7.5% required return.
Current Price
$10.82
Market-Implied Growth
+28.2%/yr
Base-Case Model Value
N/A
Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Opens seeded with TGM's data-driven base case for ALDF (growth from its own 5-year record, discount from its beta), so the sandbox starts where the scenarios above leave off. Illustrative model — not investment advice.
Base inputs: FCF $5.5M · 0.03B shares · net cash $541650
Estimated Fair Value
$4.22
-61.0% vs $10.82
How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $10.82; red = below. Your current case is outlined.
| WACC ↓ / Terminal → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | $5.47 | $6.15 | $7.06 | $8.32 | $10.22 |
| 6.5% | $4.37 | $4.77 | $5.28 | $5.94 | $6.81 |
| 7.5% | $3.63 | $3.90 | $4.22 | $4.61 | $5.11 |
| 8.5% | $3.10 | $3.29 | $3.51 | $3.77 | $4.08 |
| 9.5% | $2.71 | $2.85 | $3.01 | $3.19 | $3.40 |
