Is Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Fairly Valued?
Texas Pacific Land Corporation valuation review using P/E, fair value, revenue growth, EPS growth, net margin, and TGMCharts chart exhibits as of August 14, 2026.
By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated
Texas Pacific Land Corporation does not get a one-metric verdict. The stock trades at 45.73x trailing earnings and the analyst DCF (FMP) reference is $323, so the valuation read depends on whether growth and margins support that price.
The core evidence is the relationship between price, earnings, fair value, and business support. Five-year revenue CAGR is 22.25%, five-year EPS CAGR is 22.57%, and net margin is 60.32%. Those facts decide whether the multiple is defensible or stretched.
- Texas Pacific Land Corporation closed at $359 on August 14, 2026.
- Trailing P/E is 45.73x and price-to-sales is 27.58x.
- Analyst DCF (FMP) is $323 with margin of safety at -10.02%.
- Five-year revenue CAGR is 22.25% and five-year EPS CAGR is 22.57%.
- Earnings yield is 2.19% and net margin is 60.32%.
Valuation Setup
The market price, model anchor, growth support, and profitability facts behind the valuation read.
The Read
Texas Pacific Land Corporation should be read as a valuation question with a specific burden of proof: does the market price have enough earnings, growth, and margin support to justify the multiple? The stock closed at $359 on August 14, 2026, trades at 45.73x trailing earnings, and shows an analyst-DCF (FMP) margin of safety of -10.02% — an independent reference, not a TGMCharts model output.
The answer cannot come from one ratio. This note treats P/E, fair value, price-to-sales, earnings yield, revenue growth, EPS growth, and margin quality as a linked evidence set. If those lines reinforce each other, the valuation can be defended with more confidence; if they split, the final read has to stay cautious.
Current compounder snapshot · TPL
Live supporting context; not part of the article's frozen 2026-08-14 evidence snapshot.
- Score
- 37/100
- 10Y CAGR
- 26%
- Median YoY
- 19.2%
- YoY volatility
- σ 64.7pp· choppy
- Quarters ≥ 20%
- 19 of 40
- Negative quarters
- 9
- Valuation vs own 10Y history
- P/S 29.5x · 10Y median 27.6x · 57th percentile · as of Aug 21, 2026
How this score is computed
- Quarters at or above 20%: 19 of 40 → 19 of 40 pts
- Steadiness (typical swing 64.7pp) → 0 of 25 pts
- Pace (median 19.2% YoY) → 5.6 of 20 pts
- Latest quarter (31.2% YoY) → 12.1 of 15 pts
- Score: 37 of 100
Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 40
Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line
P/S multiple vs its 10Y median
Price And Multiple Context
The price and multiple section asks what the market is paying before judging whether that price is justified. Price-to-sales is 27.58x and earnings yield is 2.19%, so the first chart group keeps the market price, P/E history, and sales multiple in the same frame rather than treating the headline P/E as the whole story.
TPL P/E ratio Chart
The trailing earnings multiple is the main valuation exhibit because it connects the market price to reported earnings.
Latest P/E ratio: 45.73x as of August 14, 2026.
A P/E ratio of 45.73x has to be judged against the company's five-year EPS CAGR of 22.57%. If the multiple is high while EPS support is ordinary, the valuation thesis becomes more dependent on investor confidence than on fresh earnings power.
TPL price-to-sales Chart
Price-to-sales gives a second valuation lens when margins and earnings can move around the cycle.
Latest price-to-sales ratio: 27.58x.
Price-to-sales at 27.58x is most useful beside net margin of 60.32%. A richer sales multiple is easier to defend when margin quality is durable rather than temporarily elevated.
Fair Value And Margin Of Safety
The fair-value section is a reference point beside the market multiple. The stored fair value comes from the analyst DCF (FMP) — an independent third-party model, not a TGMCharts output — at $323, with a margin of safety of -10.02%. Treat it as one input rather than a verdict: see the Texas Pacific Land Corporation DCF page for TGMCharts' own scenario range, which can differ materially.
The valuation at a glance
Each input on its own line: what the stock costs against earnings and sales, the model's fair value and how far price sits from it, and the growth and margins behind the business.
TPL earnings yield Chart
Earnings yield reframes valuation from an owner's-yield perspective rather than a multiple perspective.
Latest earnings yield: 2.19%.
The earnings yield of 2.19% is the counterweight to the P/E ratio. If the yield is thin relative to the quality and growth profile, the valuation case needs more help from future compounding.
Growth Support
Growth support has to show up in both the top line and the per-share outcome. Five-year revenue CAGR is 22.25% and five-year EPS CAGR is 22.57%. The revenue and EPS exhibits sit here because this is where the valuation note decides whether the multiple is being supported by actual business expansion or mainly by investor willingness to pay more.
TPL revenue
Revenue history tests whether the valuation is being supported by real business expansion.
Five-year revenue CAGR: 22.25%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.
Revenue growth is the business-expansion evidence behind the valuation read. A five-year revenue CAGR of 22.25% helps show how much of the valuation story is coming from company growth instead of only multiple expansion.
TPL EPS
EPS history checks whether reported earnings are keeping pace with the market multiple.
Five-year EPS CAGR: 22.57%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.
A five-year EPS CAGR of 22.57% is the clearest support figure for a P/E-based conclusion. If EPS growth slows while the multiple remains elevated, the article should become more cautious after refresh.
Margin Quality
Margin quality is the bridge between sales growth and earnings value. Net margin is 60.32% and price-to-sales is 27.58x, so this section reads profitability beside the sales multiple. A richer sales multiple is easier to defend when profitability is durable. If margins are already elevated, the valuation read should leave room for pressure even when the recent earnings record looks strong.
TPL net margin
Net margin shows whether the company has enough profitability quality to support its valuation.
Net margin (TTM): 60.32%. The bars below are annual fiscal years.
Net margin of 60.32% is a quality signal, not a valuation verdict by itself. It matters because a premium multiple is more defensible when margins are structurally strong and less defensible when margins are peaking.
Bull/Bear Valuation Case
The bull case is that revenue growth, EPS growth, and margin quality continue to support the current multiple. The bear case is that the P/E ratio and fair-value gap ask too much of the business if growth slows or margins normalize. Keeping both cases visible prevents the valuation note from becoming either a price chart recap or a model-output recap.
Bull and bear case
Valuation support
- Five-year revenue CAGR of 22.25% and five-year EPS CAGR of 22.57% support the business case.
- Net margin of 60.32% is the quality check behind the multiple.
Valuation pressure
- A P/E ratio of 45.73x can become demanding if EPS growth slows.
- The analyst-DCF (FMP) margin of safety at -10.02% should change the valuation read if it deteriorates after refresh.
What Could Change The View
The valuation read should change if the third-party DCF (FMP) estimate moves, if the latest close moves materially toward or away from that reference of $323, or if revenue and EPS growth break from the stored trend. The dated article snapshot above is the basis for this note; newer figures appear only in the separately labeled current snapshot.
Final Read
The final read is that Texas Pacific Land Corporation needs valuation support from more than one place: the market multiple, the analyst-DCF (FMP) reference, growth, and margin quality all have to keep pointing in the same direction. Every figure in this research note is checked against data we compute and store from the company's reported filings. It is general research context only, not personalized investment advice or a buy or sell call.
FAQ
Is TPL fairly valued?
Texas Pacific Land Corporation trades at 45.73x trailing earnings, while the price gap versus the third-party DCF (FMP) estimate is -10.02%. Read those references alongside five-year revenue CAGR of 22.25% and five-year EPS CAGR of 22.57%; none is a standalone verdict.
What valuation metric matters most for TPL?
This article anchors on P/E, fair value, margin of safety, price-to-sales, earnings yield, revenue growth, and EPS growth. No single metric is treated as a recommendation.
How often should this TPL valuation view refresh?
Numbers here are as of August 14, 2026 — the note's dated snapshot. A note whose figures can no longer be verified against the company's reported data is corrected or unpublished rather than left stale.
What would change our mind
- A material move away from the analyst-DCF (FMP) reference of $323.
- A break in five-year EPS support, currently 22.57%.
- Margin quality drifting away from the latest net margin of 60.32%.
The bottom line
Texas Pacific Land Corporation valuation research note from TGMCharts Research, grounded in a dated fundamentals snapshot, chart exhibits, and linked source facts.
Read next: Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Fundamental CheckupFundamental checkup on Texas Pacific Land Corporation — from the same data-checked research desk.How we checked this researchShowHide
Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.
Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.
Latest filing excerpt
10-Q · filed 2026-08-05 · period 2026-06-30 · SEC EDGAR source
- “Market Conditions Average West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") oil prices for the six months ended June 30, 2026 increased by approximately 24% compared to average WTI oil prices during the same period last year.”
- “As a result, global oil prices this year increased to over $90 per barrel from March through early-June with continued volatility in July.”
- “Average Henry Hub natural gas prices during 2026 increased approximately 4% compared to average prior year period natural gas prices.”
- “We recognized land sales revenue of $20.9 million at closing and recorded a financing receivable for the deferred consideration.”
Source pages
Exhibit sources
Research trail
Every number, checked
Every numeric or dated claim in this note was checked against our stored company data before publishing — each figure below links to the page it comes from.