TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Earnings Review

TransDigm Group Incorporated earnings review — the reported quarter's EPS and revenue against the Street's estimates, the forward outlook, margins, cash flow, and valuation reset as of August 14, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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TransDigm Group Incorporated posted EPS of $10.87 versus the $10.30 consensus (a 5.52% surprise) on revenue of $2.74B; whether it changed the thesis depends on the forward setup, not the headline.

The review ties the print to the durable trend: the TTM revenue change is 16.65%, operating margin is 46.19%, and the market pays 38.13x trailing earnings; next-quarter consensus is $11.65 EPS.

  • TransDigm Group Incorporated posted EPS of $10.87 versus the $10.30 consensus — a surprise of 5.52%.
  • Revenue was $2.74B against a $2.68B estimate — a revenue surprise of 2.37%.
  • Trailing-twelve-month revenue change is 16.65% and EPS change is 9.42%.
  • Operating margin is 46.19% and net margin is 21.28%.
  • Next quarter consensus is $11.65 EPS on $2.93B revenue, with the next report due November 11, 2026.

Quarterly Setup

The reported quarter against the Street's estimates, plus the latest TTM trend behind it.

Actual EPS
$10.87
EPS estimate
$10.30
EPS surprise
5.52%
Revenue surprise
2.37%
Revenue TTM growth
16.65%
Operating margin
46.19%

The Read

TransDigm Group Incorporated has reported, and this is the earnings review: what the quarter delivered against the Street's expectations, and what it means for the underlying business. Actual EPS landed at $10.87 against the $10.30 consensus — a surprise of 5.52% — on revenue of $2.74B versus a $2.68B estimate.

An earnings print only matters if it connects to the durable trend. The trailing-twelve-month revenue change is 16.65% while the TTM EPS change is 9.42%, so the rest of this review tests whether the quarter reinforced that direction across cash flow, margins, and the forward setup rather than simply clearing a bar.

Current compounder snapshot · TDG

Live supporting context; not part of the article's frozen 2026-08-14 evidence snapshot.

Score
29/100
10Y CAGR
12.5%
Median YoY
14.3%
YoY volatility
σ 17.0pp· uneven
Quarters ≥ 20%
10 of 40
Negative quarters
4
Valuation vs own 10Y history
P/S 7.3x · 10Y median 6.9x · 55th percentile · as of Aug 14, 2026
How this score is computed
  • Quarters at or above 20%: 10 of 40 10 of 40 pts
  • Steadiness (typical swing 17.0pp) → 12.9 of 25 pts
  • Pace (median 14.3% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
  • Latest quarter (22.5% YoY) → 5.6 of 15 pts
  • Score: 29 of 100 (points above use the rounded stats shown on this card)

Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 40

$0.00$2.50B$5.00B$7.50B$10.00B$12.50B20172019202120232025

Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line

-50%-25%0%20%40%60%20%20172019202120232025

P/S multiple vs its 10Y median

2x4x6x8x10x12x10Y median 6.9x20172019202120232025

TDG compounder charts →All consistent compounders →

The Quarter Reported

Start with the scorecard. TransDigm Group Incorporated posted EPS of $10.87 against the $10.30 analysts modeled, an EPS surprise of 5.52%, while revenue of $2.74B compared with the $2.68B consensus for a revenue surprise of 2.37%.

The two surprises together say more than either alone, because a revenue-led result is more durable than one carried by a tax item or a share-count effect on EPS. This section treats the print as a data point about execution against expectations; whether it changed the thesis is decided by the trend lines and the forward outlook below.

Earnings scorecard: reported vs expected

The quarter's actual EPS and revenue against the Street's consensus, with the forward-quarter setup.

Quarterly EPS

Reported
$10.87
Street estimate
$10.30

Quarterly revenue

Reported
$2.74B
Street estimate
$2.68B

Next quarter — EPS consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$11.65

Next quarter — revenue consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$2.93B
TTM revenue

TDG TTM revenue Chart

$10.01B

TTM revenue keeps the quarterly review focused on the most recent four-quarter business base.

+108.52% over 5Y

Latest revenue TTM growth: 16.65%.

Revenue TTM growth of 16.65% is the first quarterly-review checkpoint. It shows whether the latest reported periods are still adding to the business base.

Revenue And Earnings Direction

The TTM revenue change of 16.65% is most useful beside the net income change of 10.20%. When sales and earnings move apart, the review shifts from a growth story to a margin story. The EPS change of 9.42% then shows what the latest reporting cycle actually delivered per share after buybacks and mix.

TTM net income

TDG TTM net income Chart

$2.13B

Net income TTM history checks whether revenue momentum is reaching the bottom line.

+213.09% over 5Y

Latest net income TTM growth: 10.20%.

Net income TTM growth of 10.20% is the earnings-conversion check. If it diverges from revenue growth, the review should focus on margins rather than only sales.

EPS

TDG EPS Chart

$32.08

EPS connects reported earnings momentum to the per-share outcome.

+287.80% over 5Y

Latest EPS TTM growth: 9.42%.

EPS TTM growth of 9.42% shows what the recent reporting cycle delivered per share. It is most useful beside revenue and margin data, not as a standalone verdict.

Cash Flow Conversion

Cash conversion is the honesty check on the earnings line. The free-cash-flow change of 1.10% either confirms the EPS result or challenges it, and an earnings review is incomplete when it reports a beat or miss without asking whether cash generation moved the same way.

TTM free cash flow

TDG TTM free cash flow Chart

$1.93B

Free cash flow TTM is the cash-conversion counterpoint to earnings momentum.

+138.49% over 5Y

Latest FCF TTM growth: 1.10%.

Free-cash-flow TTM growth of 1.10% can confirm or challenge the earnings story. A quarterly review is incomplete if cash conversion is moving differently from EPS.

Margin Quality

Margin quality decides whether the revenue base is becoming more profitable. Operating margin is 46.19%, gross margin is 59.57%, and net margin is 21.28%. The margin chart belongs here because this is the section that explains why earnings can diverge from sales after a print.

operating margin

TDG operating margin

44.76%

Operating margin shows whether the latest revenue base is becoming more or less profitable.

+4.9pp over 10Y

Operating margin (TTM): 46.19%. The bars below are individual quarters, so the latest bar can differ from this trailing-twelve-month figure.

Operating margin (TTM) of 46.19% is the quality read across the last four quarters. The review should become more cautious if growth is present but margin quality is fading.

Forward Outlook

The market trades on the next quarter, not the last one. Consensus models $11.65 in EPS and $2.93B in revenue for the coming quarter, with the next report due November 11, 2026. The forward setup is what turns a backward-looking print into a thesis: a result paired with a soft forward bar reads very differently from one paired with a rising one.

Comparing the just-reported quarter against that forward estimate is one way to test whether expectations are catching up to the business or running ahead of it. The TTM revenue change of 16.65% is the reference point; estimate uncertainty and reporting-basis differences remain limitations.

Valuation Reset

Valuation resets with every print. The market is paying 38.13x trailing earnings and the free-cash-flow yield is 2.65%. A quarter matters most when the valuation has not already priced every improvement in advance, so the multiple is the lens that decides how much the surprise should move the view.

P/E ratio

TDG P/E ratio Chart

38.13x

P/E history keeps the quarterly review connected to what investors are paying for the updated fundamentals.

-46.01% over 5Y

Latest P/E ratio: 38.13x.

The P/E ratio at 38.13x is the market's price on the quarterly evidence. Improving fundamentals matter more when the multiple does not already assume too much progress.

Bull/Bear Case

The bull case is that revenue, earnings, cash flow, and margins moved together this quarter while the valuation at 38.13x remains explainable against the forward setup. The bear case is a split between reported earnings and cash generation, or a forward bar that asks too much of the next print. The case work sits before the final read so the review does not end as a recap.

Bull and bear case

Quarterly support

  • Revenue TTM growth of 16.65% supports the latest operating momentum.
  • Net margin of 21.28% keeps the quarterly review connected to earnings quality.

Quarterly pressure

  • Free-cash-flow TTM growth of 1.10% can weaken the read if cash conversion lags earnings.
  • The valuation still has to be checked against a P/E ratio of 38.13x.

Final Read

The earnings review is useful only when the print, the trend lines, cash conversion, margin quality, the forward outlook, and the valuation reset tell a coherent story. The source snapshot is dated August 14, 2026. This TGMCharts Research note uses reported fundamentals, linked source pages, and chart exhibits only — a structured read on the reported quarter, not a forecast or personalized investment advice.

FAQ

Did TDG beat or miss earnings estimates last quarter?

TransDigm Group Incorporated posted EPS of $10.87 against the $10.30 consensus — an EPS surprise of 5.52% — on revenue of $2.74B versus the $2.68B estimate, a revenue surprise of 2.37%.

What is the forward outlook for TDG after the print?

Consensus models $11.65 in EPS on $2.93B in revenue for the coming quarter, with the next report due November 11, 2026. The TTM revenue change of 16.65% is the reference for judging whether that bar is conservative or demanding.

What would make this TDG earnings review stale?

If the next data update materially changes the reported-quarter figures, forward estimates, margins, or valuation inputs, this note is corrected or withdrawn rather than left stale. Figures are as of August 14, 2026.

What would change our mind

  • The next report due November 11, 2026 versus the $11.65 EPS consensus.
  • Free-cash-flow TTM change versus the EPS TTM change of 9.42%.
  • Operating margin or valuation moving away from 46.19% and 38.13x.

The bottom line

TransDigm Group Incorporated earnings-report review from TGMCharts Research: the reported quarter versus consensus, the forward setup, and what it means for the business — every figure checked against the company's reported data.

Read next: TDG fundamentalsContinue with TransDigm Group Incorporated's full stock page.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-08-04 · period 2026-06-27 · SEC EDGAR source

  • Selling and administrative expenses increased by $90 million to $332 million for the thirteen week period ended June 27, 2026.
  • Net sales for the Airframe segment increased $128 million primarily from increases in sales in commercial aftermarket, commercial OEM and defense.
  • EBITDA As Defined for the Power & Control and Airframe segments increased $162 million and $76 million, respectively, due to the increase in net sales described above, along with our application of our three core value-driven operating strategy.
  • Selling and administrative expenses increased by $170 million to $859 million for the thirty-nine week period ended June 27, 2026.
Full methodology