NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Earnings Review

NVIDIA Corporation earnings review — the reported quarter's EPS and revenue against the Street's estimates, the forward outlook, margins, cash flow, and valuation reset as of July 2, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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NVIDIA Corporation posted EPS of $1.87 versus the $1.77 consensus (a 5.54% surprise) on revenue of $81.61B; whether it changed the thesis depends on the forward setup, not the headline.

The review ties the print to the durable trend: the TTM revenue change is 70.68%, operating margin is 64.02%, and the market pays 29.84x trailing earnings; next-quarter consensus is $2.08 EPS.

NVIDIA Corporation posted EPS of $1.87 versus the $1.77 consensus — a surprise of 5.54%.
Revenue was $81.61B against a $78.42B estimate — a revenue surprise of 4.07%.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue change is 70.68% and EPS change is 102.34%.
Operating margin is 64.02% and net margin is 62.97%.
Next quarter consensus is $2.08 EPS on $91.71B revenue, with the next report due August 26, 2026.

Quarterly Setup

The reported quarter against the Street's estimates, plus the latest TTM trend behind it.

Actual EPS
$1.87
EPS estimate
$1.77
EPS surprise
5.54%
Revenue surprise
4.07%
Revenue TTM growth
70.68%
Operating margin
64.02%

Recent Execution Against Consensus Expectations

The latest financial disclosure from NVIDIA Corporation provides a clear snapshot of operational performance relative to analyst projections. The enterprise generated a quarterly EPS of $1.87, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.77 by a margin of 5.54%. This bottom-line performance was supported by quarterly revenue of $81.61B, which compared favorably with the Wall Street consensus target of $78.42B.

Evaluating these results requires looking beyond a single quarter to assess the underlying structural trajectory. Currently, the trailing-twelve-month revenue growth stands at 70.68%, while the trailing-twelve-month EPS expansion has reached 102.34%. This analysis examines whether the reported period reinforces these longer-term trends or signals a shift in operational momentum across cash generation, margin profiles, and future expectations.

Analysis of the Reported Quarter Scorecard

A detailed examination of the quarterly scorecard reveals that NVIDIA Corporation achieved a top-line revenue surprise of 4.07%, alongside its bottom-line EPS surprise of 5.54%. When both metrics exceed consensus expectations in tandem, it typically indicates that bottom-line strength is supported by expansion in demand rather than relying solely on cost-reduction initiatives or financial engineering.

While these positive deviations from consensus demonstrate solid execution during the period, they represent backward-looking indicators. To determine whether the core investment thesis has altered, these figures must be contextualized within the broader framework of multi-quarter growth trajectories and the forward-looking valuation multiples detailed in the subsequent sections.

Earnings scorecard: reported vs expected

The quarter's actual EPS and revenue against the Street's consensus, with the forward-quarter setup.

Quarterly EPS

Reported
$1.87
Street estimate
$1.77

Quarterly revenue

Reported
$81.61B
Street estimate
$78.42B

Next quarter — EPS consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$2.08

Next quarter — revenue consensus

Reported
Street estimate
$91.71B
TTM revenue

NVDA TTM revenue Chart

$253.49B

TTM revenue keeps the quarterly review focused on the most recent four-quarter business base.

≈13x over 5Y

Latest revenue TTM growth: 70.68%.

Revenue TTM growth of 70.68% is the first quarterly-review checkpoint. It shows whether the latest reported periods are still adding to the business base.

Trailing Twelve Month Revenue and Net Income Trends

The relationship between top-line expansion and bottom-line profitability is central to understanding operational leverage. The trailing-twelve-month revenue growth of 70.68% is closely aligned with a trailing-twelve-month net income expansion of 107.90%, demonstrating that the business has successfully translated higher sales volumes into net earnings. This operational efficiency is also reflected in the trailing-twelve-month EPS growth rate of 102.34%.

When revenue and net income grow in parallel, it suggests that the business model is maintaining its structural balance as scale increases. However, if net income expansion begins to lag behind revenue growth in future periods, it would signal that rising operational expenses or shifting product mixes are beginning to impact overall profitability.

TTM net income

NVDA TTM net income Chart

$159.61B

Net income TTM history checks whether revenue momentum is reaching the bottom line.

≈30x over 5Y

Latest net income TTM growth: 107.90%.

Net income TTM growth of 107.90% is the earnings-conversion check. If it diverges from revenue growth, the review should focus on margins rather than only sales.

EPS

NVDA EPS Chart

$4.93

EPS connects reported earnings momentum to the per-share outcome.

≈27x over 5Y

Latest EPS TTM growth: 102.34%.

EPS TTM growth of 102.34% shows what the recent reporting cycle delivered per share. It is most useful beside revenue and margin data, not as a standalone verdict.

Free Cash Flow Generation and Earnings Quality

Evaluating free cash flow provides an essential verification of reported accounting profits. For the trailing twelve months, the free cash flow growth rate of 65.24% confirms that cash generation is expanding alongside net earnings, though at a different rate than the EPS growth of 102.34%. This positive trajectory indicates that the reported net income is backed by actual cash inflows rather than non-cash accounting adjustments.

A persistent divergence where cash flow growth lags significantly behind net income growth would raise questions regarding working capital efficiency or rising capital intensity. Monitoring this relationship is crucial for assessing whether the enterprise can sustain its operational expansion without experiencing cash constraints.

TTM free cash flow

NVDA TTM free cash flow Chart

$119.08B

Free cash flow TTM is the cash-conversion counterpoint to earnings momentum.

≈22x over 5Y

Latest FCF TTM growth: 65.24%.

Free-cash-flow TTM growth of 65.24% can confirm or challenge the earnings story. A quarterly review is incomplete if cash conversion is moving differently from EPS.

Structural Margin Performance Across the Business Base

The profitability profile of the business remains high, with the trailing-twelve-month gross margin recorded at 74.15%. This strong foundation supports an operating margin of 64.02% and a net margin of 62.97%. These figures reflect the current efficiency of the operating model and the relationship between production costs and ultimate profitability.

Any future contraction in these margins would indicate rising input costs or a shift toward lower-margin product lines. Conversely, maintaining or expanding these levels during periods of rapid growth demonstrates that the business is successfully managing its cost structure as it scales.

operating margin

NVDA operating margin

65.60%

Operating margin shows whether the latest revenue base is becoming more or less profitable.

+43.4pp over 10Y

Operating margin (TTM): 64.02%. The bars below are individual quarters, so the latest bar can differ from this trailing-twelve-month figure.

Operating margin (TTM) of 64.02% is the quality read across the last four quarters. The review should become more cautious if growth is present but margin quality is fading.

Consensus Expectations and the Next Quarterly Bar

Looking ahead, Wall Street analysts have established a consensus estimate of $2.08 in EPS on projected revenue of $91.71B for the upcoming quarter. The next formal earnings disclosure is scheduled for August 26, 2026. These targets represent the benchmark against which the market will evaluate the next phase of operational execution.

Comparing the upcoming targets to the historical trailing-twelve-month revenue growth rate of 70.68% helps determine whether consensus expectations are conservative or demanding. If the forward consensus requires growth rates that exceed historical averages, the risk of a future negative surprise increases.

Current Market Valuation Multiples

Following the latest financial disclosures, the equity market prices the business at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 29.84x. Concurrently, the trailing-twelve-month free cash flow yield is positioned at 2.51%. These metrics indicate the premium or discount that investors are willing to pay for the current level of fundamental performance.

A high price-to-earnings multiple suggests that the market has already factored significant future growth into the current share price. Consequently, even strong operational results may not lead to upward valuation adjustments if those improvements have been fully anticipated by market participants.

P/E ratio

NVDA P/E ratio Chart

29.84x

P/E history keeps the quarterly review connected to what investors are paying for the updated fundamentals.

-69.13% over 5Y

Latest P/E ratio: 29.84x.

The P/E ratio at 29.84x is the market's price on the quarterly evidence. Improving fundamentals matter more when the multiple does not already assume too much progress.

Key Operational Supports and Potential Risks

The primary positive takeaway from the recent period is the alignment of top-line revenue growth of 70.68% with a net margin of 62.97%, demonstrating high profitability on an expanding sales base. This performance is supported by trailing-twelve-month net income growth of 107.90%, which confirms that operational leverage remains functional.

Conversely, potential risks center on the sustainability of these growth rates and the valuation multiple of 29.84x. If free cash flow growth, currently at 65.24%, slows or if capital expenditure requirements escalate, the current valuation structure may face downward pressure.

Bull and bear case

Quarterly support

  • Revenue TTM growth of 70.68% supports the latest operating momentum.
  • Net margin of 62.97% keeps the quarterly review connected to earnings quality.

Quarterly pressure

  • Free-cash-flow TTM growth of 65.24% can weaken the read if cash conversion lags earnings.
  • The valuation still has to be checked against a P/E ratio of 29.84x.

Synthesis of the Quarterly Financial Evidence

In summary, the latest financial results from NVIDIA Corporation show a business that has exceeded consensus expectations on both the top and bottom lines, supported by a trailing-twelve-month revenue growth rate of 70.68% and an operating margin of 64.02%. The alignment of earnings expansion with cash generation helps validate the quality of these reported profits.

All data and analysis presented in this review are based on historical fundamentals and consensus estimates compiled as of July 2, 2026. This research note is intended solely as an objective analysis of the reported financial metrics and does not constitute personalized investment advice or a directional recommendation.

FAQ

Did NVDA beat or miss earnings estimates last quarter?

NVIDIA Corporation posted EPS of $1.87 against the $1.77 consensus — an EPS surprise of 5.54% — on revenue of $81.61B versus the $78.42B estimate, a revenue surprise of 4.07%.

What is the forward outlook for NVDA after the print?

Consensus models $2.08 in EPS on $91.71B in revenue for the coming quarter, with the next report due August 26, 2026. The TTM revenue change of 70.68% is the reference for judging whether that bar is conservative or demanding.

What would make this NVDA earnings review stale?

If the next data update materially changes the reported-quarter figures, forward estimates, margins, or valuation inputs, this note is corrected or withdrawn rather than left stale. Figures are as of July 2, 2026.

What would change our mind

  • The next report due August 26, 2026 versus the $2.08 EPS consensus.
  • Free-cash-flow TTM change versus the EPS TTM change of 102.34%.
  • Operating margin or valuation moving away from 64.02% and 29.84x.

The bottom line

NVIDIA Corporation earnings-report review from TGMCharts Research: the reported quarter versus consensus, the forward setup, and what it means for the business — every figure checked against the company's reported data.

Read next: Is NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Fairly Valued?Valuation on NVIDIA Corporation — from the same data-checked research desk.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-05-20 · period 2026-04-26 · SEC EDGAR source

  • Revenue was $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year ago and up 20% sequentially.
  • Data Center revenue was $75.2 billion, up 92% from a year ago and up 21% sequentially, driven by the ramp of our Blackwell 300 products and demand for our InfiniBand, Spectrum-X Ethernet, and NVLink solutions.
  • Edge Computing revenue for the first quarter was $6.4 billion, up 29% from a year ago and up 10% sequentially.
  • Hyperscaler revenue increased sequentially and remained at approximately 50% of Data Center revenue, while the remaining 50% came from a continued diversification of customers, including AI Clouds, industrial, enterprise, and sovereign customers.
Full methodology