Is Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Fairly Valued?

Monster Beverage Corporation valuation review using P/E, fair value, revenue growth, EPS growth, net margin, and TGMCharts chart exhibits as of July 8, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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Evaluating Monster Beverage Corporation requires looking beyond a single metric. The equity trades at 45.97x trailing earnings relative to an analyst DCF benchmark of $70.04, meaning its market premium must be weighed against historical growth and margin durability.

The fundamental justification for the current multiple rests on the relationship between operational expansion and profitability. The company has delivered a five-year revenue CAGR of 12.96% alongside a five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95%, while sustaining a net profit margin of 23.11%.

Monster Beverage Corporation closed at $96.55 on July 8, 2026.
Trailing P/E is 45.97x and price-to-sales is 10.69x.
Analyst DCF (FMP) is $70.04 with margin of safety at -26.39%.
Five-year revenue CAGR is 12.96% and five-year EPS CAGR is 7.95%.
Earnings yield is 2.18% and net margin is 23.11%.

Valuation Setup

The market price, model anchor, growth support, and profitability facts behind the valuation read.

Latest close
$96.55
Trailing P/E
45.97x
Price to sales
10.69x
Analyst DCF (FMP)
$70.04
Margin of safety
-26.39%
5Y EPS CAGR
7.95%

Evaluating the Premium Multiple and Burden of Proof

When analyzing Monster Beverage Corporation, the central analytical task is determining whether the company's underlying financial engine can support its premium market pricing. At the close on July 8, 2026, equity shares were priced at $96.55, which translates to a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 45.97x. This multiple sits above the third-party analyst discounted cash flow reference price of $70.04, yielding a negative margin of safety of -26.39%.

Sustainably assessing this valuation requires synthesizing several distinct metrics rather than relying on a singular ratio. This analysis examines the interplay between the trailing earnings multiple, the price-to-sales ratio, the cash generation yield, long-term growth trajectories, and bottom-line margins. If these operational indicators remain aligned, the market premium can be fundamentally defended; conversely, any divergence suggests a heightened risk profile for shareholders.

Assessing Current Market Multiples and Capital Yields

To establish what investors are paying for the business, we look at the current multiple landscape. The market has priced the equity at a price-to-sales ratio of 10.69x, which corresponds to an earnings yield of 2.18%. Viewing these metrics in tandem helps illustrate the cost of ownership relative to top-line volume, providing a broader perspective than trailing earnings alone.

P/E ratio

MNST P/E ratio Chart

45.97x

The trailing earnings multiple is the main valuation exhibit because it connects the market price to reported earnings.

+40.20% over 5Y

Latest P/E ratio: 45.97x as of July 8, 2026.

A P/E ratio of 45.97x has to be judged against the company's five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95%. If the multiple is high while EPS support is ordinary, the valuation thesis becomes more dependent on investor confidence than on fresh earnings power.

price-to-sales

MNST price-to-sales Chart

10.69x

Price-to-sales gives a second valuation lens when margins and earnings can move around the cycle.

+6.37% over 5Y

Latest price-to-sales ratio: 10.69x.

Price-to-sales at 10.69x is most useful beside net margin of 23.11%. A richer sales multiple is easier to defend when margin quality is durable rather than temporarily elevated.

Comparing Market Price to the DCF Benchmark

As an independent reference point, the third-party analyst DCF model estimates the fair value of the business at $70.04. This calculation places the current market price above the estimated intrinsic value, resulting in a margin of safety of -26.39%. This benchmark serves as a useful comparison tool, though it is important to note that individual model assumptions and scenario ranges can vary significantly from this specific consensus output.

The valuation at a glance

Each input on its own line: what the stock costs against earnings and sales, the model's fair value and how far price sits from it, and the growth and margins behind the business.

Price-to-earnings (P/E)

Value
45.97x

Earnings yield

Value
2.18%

Analyst DCF (FMP)

Value
$70.04

Margin of safety vs analyst DCF (FMP)

Value
-26.39%

Revenue growth, five-year

Value
12.96%

EPS growth, five-year

Value
7.95%

Net profit margin

Value
23.11%

Price-to-sales (P/S)

Value
10.69x
earnings yield

MNST earnings yield Chart

2.18%

Earnings yield reframes valuation from an owner's-yield perspective rather than a multiple perspective.

-0.9pp over 5Y

Latest earnings yield: 2.18%.

The earnings yield of 2.18% is the counterweight to the P/E ratio. If the yield is thin relative to the quality and growth profile, the valuation case needs more help from future compounding.

Aligning Historical Growth Rates With Valuation Levels

A premium multiple requires robust underlying expansion to remain justified over time. Historically, the company has achieved a five-year compound annual revenue growth rate of 12.96%, while diluted earnings per share have expanded at a five-year CAGR of 7.95%. Comparing these expansion rates against the current earnings multiple reveals whether real operational momentum is driving the stock price or if the valuation is primarily riding on multiple expansion.

revenue

MNST revenue

$2.35B

Revenue history tests whether the valuation is being supported by real business expansion.

+184.39% over 10Y

Five-year revenue CAGR: 12.96%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Revenue growth is the business-expansion evidence behind the valuation read. A five-year revenue CAGR of 12.96% helps show how much of the valuation story is coming from company growth instead of only multiple expansion.

EPS

MNST EPS

$0.58

EPS history checks whether reported earnings are keeping pace with the market multiple.

+286.67% over 10Y

Five-year EPS CAGR: 7.95%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

A five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95% is the clearest support figure for a P/E-based conclusion. If EPS growth slows while the multiple remains elevated, the article should become more cautious after refresh.

Analyzing Profitability Margins Against Sales Multiples

The strength of a company's profit margin determines how effectively top-line sales are converted into shareholder value. Currently, the company maintains a net profit margin of 23.11% alongside its price-to-sales ratio of 10.69x. High-quality, durable margins make a premium sales multiple much easier to defend, though any future compression in profitability would quickly expose the stock to valuation risk.

net margin

MNST net margin

24.20%

Net margin shows whether the company has enough profitability quality to support its valuation.

+1.9pp over 10Y

Net margin (TTM): 23.11%. The bars below are annual fiscal years.

Net margin of 23.11% is a quality signal, not a valuation verdict by itself. It matters because a premium multiple is more defensible when margins are structurally strong and less defensible when margins are peaking.

The Bull and Bear Cases for the Current Valuation

The optimistic valuation case rests on the continuation of historical trends, where consistent top-line growth of 12.96% and high net margins of 23.11% support the premium multiple. Conversely, the cautious view highlights that a trailing P/E of 45.97x and a negative margin of safety of -26.39% leave very little room for operational missteps or a broader industry slowdown.

Bull and bear case

Valuation support

  • Five-year revenue CAGR of 12.96% and five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95% support the business case.
  • Net margin of 23.11% is the quality check behind the multiple.

Valuation pressure

  • A P/E ratio of 45.97x can become demanding if EPS growth slows.
  • The analyst-DCF (FMP) margin of safety at -26.39% should change the valuation read if it deteriorates after refresh.

Key Operational Signposts to Monitor

Several critical developments could alter this fundamental valuation read. A significant shift in the consensus analyst DCF fair value or a closing of the gap between the market price and the $70.04 reference would directly impact the margin of safety. Furthermore, any material deceleration in the five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95% or a decline in the net margin below 23.11% would undermine the core pillars of the current multiple.

Synthesizing the Fundamental Valuation Read

In conclusion, the valuation of Monster Beverage Corporation is highly dependent on the co-existence of premium profitability and steady growth. For the current market multiple to remain defensible, the company's net margin of 23.11% and long-term expansion rates must remain intact. This research is based on verified historical filings and daily market data updates, providing objective context rather than personalized financial advice.

FAQ

Is MNST fairly valued?

Monster Beverage Corporation trades at 45.97x trailing earnings with an analyst-DCF (FMP) margin of safety of -26.39%. The cleanest read comes from comparing that valuation to five-year revenue CAGR of 12.96% and five-year EPS CAGR of 7.95%.

What valuation metric matters most for MNST?

This article anchors on P/E, fair value, margin of safety, price-to-sales, earnings yield, revenue growth, and EPS growth. No single metric is treated as a recommendation.

How often should this MNST valuation view refresh?

We refresh this note after each daily market close, so the price, fair value, and every figure stay current. Numbers here are as of July 8, 2026.

What would change our mind

  • A material move away from the analyst-DCF (FMP) reference of $70.04.
  • A break in five-year EPS support, currently 7.95%.
  • Margin quality drifting away from the latest net margin of 23.11%.

The bottom line

Monster Beverage Corporation valuation research note from TGMCharts Research, grounded in precomputed fundamentals, chart exhibits, and a frozen claim ledger.

Read next: MNST fundamentalsContinue with Monster Beverage Corporation's full stock page.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-05-08 · period 2026-03-31 · SEC EDGAR source

  • Net sales on a foreign currency adjusted basis increased 22.1% for the three-months ended March 31, 2026.
  • Net sales to customers outside the United States, on a foreign currency adjusted basis, increased 32.7% for the three-months ended March 31, 2026.
  • Net sales for the Monster Energy Drinks segment on a foreign currency adjusted basis increased 22.8% for the three-months ended March 31, 2026.
  • Net sales for the Strategic Brands segment on a foreign currency adjusted basis increased 21.4% for the three-months ended March 31, 2026.

Every number, checked

Full methodology