Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Fundamental Checkup

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. fundamental checkup using revenue growth, EPS growth, free cash flow, margins, ROIC, debt-to-equity, and TGMCharts chart exhibits as of August 7, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. gets a balanced fundamental read when revenue growth of 12.67%, EPS growth of 35.70%, free-cash-flow growth of 25.61%, net margin of 11.42%, and ROIC of 18.97% support the same story.

The checkup weighs operating growth, shareholder conversion, cash conversion, reinvestment quality, and balance-sheet flexibility. Current ratio is 0.72x and debt-to-equity is 2.46x, so the balance-sheet read is part of the final view rather than a footnote.

  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. has market cap of $42.09B and closed at $32.79 on August 7, 2026.
  • Five-year revenue CAGR is 12.67% and five-year EPS CAGR is 35.70%.
  • Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR is 25.61%.
  • Net margin is 11.42% and ROIC is 18.97%.
  • Current ratio is 0.72x and debt-to-equity is 2.46x.

Fundamental snapshot

The valuation, growth, profitability, and balance-sheet facts behind the checkup.

Market cap
$42.09B
Trailing P/E
30.08x
5Y revenue CAGR
12.67%
5Y EPS CAGR
35.70%
Net margin
11.42%
ROIC
18.97%
Current ratio
0.72x
Debt to equity
2.46x

The Read

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. should be read through one research question: do growth, cash conversion, profitability quality, balance-sheet flexibility, and valuation point to the same fundamental story? The latest close is $32.79 as of August 7, 2026, but the checkup starts with business evidence before returning to the market price.

The answer starts with five-year revenue CAGR of 12.67% and five-year EPS CAGR of 35.70%, then tests that growth against five-year free-cash-flow CAGR of 25.61%. A serious fundamental note should not let one growth line carry the whole argument.

Current compounder snapshot · CMG

Live supporting context; not part of the article's frozen 2026-08-07 evidence snapshot.

Score
24/100
10Y CAGR
10.2%
Median YoY
13%
YoY volatility
σ 8.6pp· smooth
Quarters ≥ 20%
5 of 40
Negative quarters
2
Valuation vs own 10Y history
P/S 3.4x · 10Y median 4.9x · 26th percentile · as of Aug 7, 2026
How this score is computed
  • Quarters at or above 20%: 5 of 40 5 of 40 pts
  • Steadiness (typical swing 8.6pp) → 18.9 of 25 pts
  • Pace (median 13% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
  • Latest quarter (9.3% YoY) → 0 of 15 pts
  • Score: 24 of 100

Annual revenue · last 11 fiscal years

$0.00$2.50B$5.00B$7.50B$10.00B$12.50B201520172019202120232025

Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line

-20%0%10%20%30%40%20%20172019202120232025

P/S multiple vs its 10Y median

0x2x4x6x8x10x10Y median 4.9x20172019202120232025

CMG compounder charts →All consistent compounders →

Business Quality Snapshot

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. operates in Consumer Cyclical, so the article treats the company as an operating business with measurable growth, margin, reinvestment, and balance-sheet evidence. The snapshot keeps market cap, valuation, growth, quality, and leverage in one view before the prose moves into the chart exhibits.

Fundamental evidence table

A compact cross-check of valuation, growth, quality, and financial flexibility.

Valuation

Market lens
30.08x
Business support
3.32%

Growth

Market lens
12.67%
Business support
35.70%

Quality

Market lens
11.42%
Business support
18.97%

Balance sheet

Market lens
0.72x
Business support
2.46x
revenue

CMG revenue

$3.35B

Revenue history shows whether the business has been expanding before margins and per-share metrics are considered.

+222.91% over 10Y

Five-year revenue CAGR: 12.67%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Five-year revenue CAGR of 12.67% is the top-line test. A fundamental checkup becomes more durable when revenue growth is paired with earnings growth instead of depending only on margin expansion.

Growth Conversion

Growth conversion asks whether sales growth becomes per-share earnings. Revenue growth of 12.67% is the top-line evidence, while EPS growth of 35.70% shows shareholder conversion. If EPS outpaces revenue, the next section has to check whether that came with durable cash flow and margin quality.

EPS

CMG EPS

$0.32

EPS history shows how much of the business growth has reached shareholders.

≈59x over 10Y

Five-year EPS CAGR: 35.70%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Five-year EPS CAGR of 35.70% is the shareholder conversion check. If EPS grows faster than revenue, the note should ask whether that came from margin quality, buybacks, or a temporary base effect.

Cash Flow Support

Cash flow is the first counterpoint to an earnings-led story. Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR is 25.61%, so the free-cash-flow exhibit sits immediately after the growth-conversion section. If cash flow lags EPS, the article should reduce confidence in the quality of the earnings path.

free cash flow

CMG free cash flow

$463.38M

Free cash flow checks whether earnings are converting into owner cash.

≈13x over 10Y

Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR: 25.61%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint from the fiscal years shown — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Free-cash-flow CAGR of 25.61% is the counterweight to the EPS story. If cash flow lags earnings, the quality of the fundamental setup deserves a more cautious reading.

Margin And ROIC Quality

The quality read depends on whether net margin of 11.42% and ROIC of 18.97% support the growth record. Margins show how much revenue becomes profit, while ROIC tests whether reinvested capital is earning enough to make growth more valuable.

net margin

CMG net margin

12.05%

Net margin is the operating-quality check behind the growth record.

+11.3pp over 10Y

Net margin (TTM): 11.42%. The bars below are annual fiscal years.

Net margin of 11.42% shows how much revenue becomes profit. The checkup is stronger when margin quality supports EPS growth rather than simply flattering one recent period.

ROIC

CMG ROIC Chart

18.97%

ROIC tests whether the business earns enough on reinvested capital to deserve attention.

+13.6pp over 5Y

Latest ROIC: 18.97%.

ROIC of 18.97% is the reinvestment-quality check. A business with stronger returns can support a better long-term read even when the valuation is not obviously cheap.

Balance Sheet Flexibility

Balance-sheet flexibility is the guardrail around the growth story. Current ratio is 0.72x and debt-to-equity is 2.46x. Those figures matter because a company can show growth and margins while still losing flexibility if leverage rises or liquidity tightens.

debt-to-equity

CMG debt-to-equity Chart

3.48x

Debt-to-equity keeps the checkup honest about balance-sheet flexibility.

+123.08% over 5Y

Latest debt-to-equity ratio: 2.46x.

Debt-to-equity of 2.46x and current ratio of 0.72x are the balance-sheet checks. They matter because growth and margins are less valuable if financial flexibility is narrowing.

Valuation Context

Valuation is the final context, not the opening verdict. The stock trades at 30.08x trailing earnings and offers an earnings yield of 3.32%. That tells the reader how much growth and quality the market is already asking the business to defend.

CMG Price Chart

CMG$32.79 -13.82%(6mo)End-of-day · Aug 7, 2026Advanced chart →

Latest close: $32.79 as of August 7, 2026.

The close at $32.79 is not the conclusion, but it is the market reference point. The fundamental read has to explain whether growth, margins, and balance-sheet support justify the price investors are paying.

Bull/Bear Case

The bull case is that revenue, EPS, free cash flow, margins, ROIC, and financial flexibility keep reinforcing the same business-quality read. The bear case is that one of those links breaks while valuation still reflects the stronger historical record. This is where the note turns from metric list to research judgment.

Bull and bear case

Fundamental support

  • Five-year revenue CAGR of 12.67% and five-year EPS CAGR of 35.70% support the business case.
  • Net margin of 11.42% and ROIC of 18.97% are the quality checks behind the thesis.

Fundamental pressure

  • Free-cash-flow CAGR of 25.61% can weaken the read if it falls away from EPS growth.
  • Debt-to-equity of 2.46x and current ratio of 0.72x are the balance-sheet checks that can change the view.

Final Read

The final read should change if the daily data updates move revenue growth, EPS growth, free-cash-flow growth, ROIC, or debt-to-equity away from the evidence above. It is general research context only, not personalized investment advice or a buy or sell call.

FAQ

What is the fundamental read on CMG?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is judged through revenue growth of 12.67%, EPS growth of 35.70%, free-cash-flow growth of 25.61%, net margin of 11.42%, and ROIC of 18.97%.

Which CMG fundamental metric matters most?

No single metric carries the article. The checkup requires growth, cash conversion, profitability quality, balance-sheet flexibility, and valuation to be read together.

When should this CMG checkup refresh?

Its figures are as of August 7, 2026, the note's dated snapshot; a note whose figures stop verifying against reported data is corrected or unpublished.

What would change our mind

  • Revenue growth moving away from the current five-year CAGR of 12.67%.
  • Free-cash-flow growth drifting away from five-year EPS CAGR of 35.70%.
  • ROIC or balance-sheet flexibility weakening from ROIC of 18.97% and debt-to-equity of 2.46x.

The bottom line

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. fundamental research note from TGMCharts Research, grounded in a dated fundamentals snapshot, chart exhibits, and linked source facts.

Read next: Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Fairly Valued?Valuation on Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — from the same data-checked research desk.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-07-31 · period 2026-06-30 · SEC EDGAR source

  • The guidance is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2026, with early adoption permitted, and may be applied retrospectively.
  • Under the new guidance, public entities shall begin capitalizing software costs when 1) management has authorized and committed to funding the software project and 2) it is probable that the project will be completed and the software will be used to perform the function intended.
  • The guidance is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2027, with early adoption permitted, and can be applied on a prospective, retrospective, or modified prospective basis.
  • We are currently evaluating the impact of adopting the new accounting guidance on our consolidated financial statements.
Full methodology