AAON, Inc. (AAON) Fundamental Checkup

AAON, Inc. fundamental checkup using revenue growth, EPS growth, free cash flow, margins, ROIC, debt-to-equity, and TGMCharts chart exhibits as of September 21, 2026.

By TGMCharts Research · Data as of · Updated

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AAON, Inc. gets a balanced fundamental read when revenue growth of 30.47%, EPS growth of 5.50%, free-cash-flow growth of -57.58%, net margin of 8.24%, and ROIC of 11.51% support the same story.

The checkup weighs operating growth, shareholder conversion, cash conversion, reinvestment quality, and balance-sheet flexibility. Current ratio is 3.01x and debt-to-equity is 0.46x, so the balance-sheet read is part of the final view rather than a footnote.

  • AAON, Inc. has market cap of $6.26B and closed at $76.40 on September 21, 2026.
  • Five-year revenue CAGR is 30.47% and five-year EPS CAGR is 5.50%.
  • Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR is -57.58%.
  • Net margin is 8.24% and ROIC is 11.51%.
  • Current ratio is 3.01x and debt-to-equity is 0.46x.

Fundamental snapshot

The valuation, growth, profitability, and balance-sheet facts behind the checkup.

Market cap
$6.26B
Trailing P/E
40.00x
5Y revenue CAGR
30.47%
5Y EPS CAGR
5.50%
Net margin
8.24%
ROIC
11.51%
Current ratio
3.01x
Debt to equity
0.46x

The Read

AAON, Inc. should be read through one research question: do growth, cash conversion, profitability quality, balance-sheet flexibility, and valuation point to the same fundamental story? The latest close is $76.40 as of September 21, 2026, but the checkup starts with business evidence before returning to the market price.

The answer starts with five-year revenue CAGR of 30.47% and five-year EPS CAGR of 5.50%, then tests that growth against five-year free-cash-flow CAGR of -57.58%. A serious fundamental note should not let one growth line carry the whole argument.

Current compounder snapshot · AAON

Live supporting context; not part of the article's frozen 2026-09-21 evidence snapshot.

Score
35/100
10Y CAGR
14.9%
Median YoY
12.2%
YoY volatility
σ 25.9pp· choppy
Quarters ≥ 20%
13 of 40
Negative quarters
8
Valuation vs own 10Y history
P/S 3.5x · 10Y median 5.5x · 9th percentile · as of Sep 11, 2026
How this score is computed
  • Quarters at or above 20%: 13 of 40 13 of 40 pts
  • Steadiness (typical swing 25.9pp) → 6.5 of 25 pts
  • Pace (median 12.2% YoY) → 0 of 20 pts
  • Latest quarter (101.2% YoY) → 15 of 15 pts
  • Score: 35 of 100

Annualized revenue (TTM) · by quarter, last 40

$0.00$500.00M$1.00B$1.50B$2.00B20172019202120232025

Quarterly YoY revenue growth vs the 20% line

0%25%50%75%100%125%20%20172019202120232025

P/S multiple vs its 10Y median

2x4x6x8x10x10Y median 5.5x20172019202120232025

AAON compounder charts →All consistent compounders →

Business Quality Snapshot

AAON, Inc. operates in Industrials, so the article treats the company as an operating business with measurable growth, margin, reinvestment, and balance-sheet evidence. The snapshot keeps market cap, valuation, growth, quality, and leverage in one view before the prose moves into the chart exhibits.

Fundamental evidence table

A compact cross-check of valuation, growth, quality, and financial flexibility.

Valuation

Market lens
40.00x
Business support
2.50%

Growth

Market lens
30.47%
Business support
5.50%

Quality

Market lens
8.24%
Business support
11.51%

Balance sheet

Market lens
3.01x
Business support
0.46x
revenue

AAON revenue

$626.98M

Revenue history shows whether the business has been expanding before margins and per-share metrics are considered. Q2 FY2026 (2026-06-30): $626.98M.

+499.59% over 10Y

Five-year revenue CAGR: 30.47%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint across the five-year window — a depressed start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Five-year revenue CAGR of 30.47% is the top-line test. A fundamental checkup becomes more durable when revenue growth is paired with earnings growth instead of depending only on margin expansion.

Growth Conversion

Growth conversion asks whether sales growth becomes per-share earnings. Revenue growth of 30.47% is the top-line evidence, while EPS growth of 5.50% shows shareholder conversion. If EPS outpaces revenue, the next section has to check whether that came with durable cash flow and margin quality.

EPS

AAON EPS

$0.69

EPS history shows how much of the business growth has reached shareholders. Q2 FY2026 (2026-06-30): $0.69.

+245.00% over 10Y

Five-year EPS CAGR: 5.50%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint across the five-year window — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Five-year EPS CAGR of 5.50% is the shareholder conversion check. If EPS grows faster than revenue, the note should ask whether that came from margin quality, buybacks, or a temporary base effect.

Cash Flow Support

Cash flow is the first counterpoint to an earnings-led story. Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR is -57.58%, so the free-cash-flow exhibit sits immediately after the growth-conversion section. If cash flow lags EPS, the article should reduce confidence in the quality of the earnings path.

free cash flow

AAON free cash flow

$-31.18M

Free cash flow checks whether earnings are converting into owner cash. Q2 FY2026 (2026-06-30): $-31.18M.

-390.52% over 10Y

Five-year free-cash-flow CAGR: -57.58%. This is endpoint-to-endpoint across the five-year window — a depressed or negative start year can inflate it, so read it against the recent bars.

Free-cash-flow CAGR of -57.58% is the counterweight to the EPS story. If cash flow lags earnings, the quality of the fundamental setup deserves a more cautious reading.

Margin And ROIC Quality

The quality read depends on whether net margin of 8.24% and ROIC of 11.51% support the growth record. Margins show how much revenue becomes profit, while ROIC tests whether reinvested capital is earning enough to make growth more valuable.

net margin

AAON net margin

9.04%

Net margin is the operating-quality check behind the growth record. Q2 FY2026 (2026-06-30): 9.04%.

-6.0pp over 10Y

Net margin (TTM): 8.24%. The bars below are reported fiscal periods (quarterly where available).

Net margin of 8.24% shows how much revenue becomes profit. The checkup is stronger when margin quality supports EPS growth rather than simply flattering one recent period.

ROIC

AAON ROIC

11.51%

ROIC tests whether the business earns enough on reinvested capital to deserve attention. Q2 FY2026 (2026-06-30): 11.51%.

-14.0pp over 10Y

Latest ROIC: 11.51%.

ROIC of 11.51% is the reinvestment-quality check. A business with stronger returns can support a better long-term read even when the valuation is not obviously cheap.

Balance Sheet Flexibility

Balance-sheet flexibility is the guardrail around the growth story. Current ratio is 3.01x and debt-to-equity is 0.46x. Those figures matter because a company can show growth and margins while still losing flexibility if leverage rises or liquidity tightens.

debt-to-equity

AAON debt-to-equity Chart

0.47x

Debt-to-equity keeps the checkup honest about balance-sheet flexibility. Historical series through 2025-12-31.

Latest debt-to-equity ratio: 0.46x.

Debt-to-equity of 0.46x and current ratio of 3.01x are the balance-sheet checks. They matter because growth and margins are less valuable if financial flexibility is narrowing.

Valuation Context

Valuation is the final context, not the opening verdict. The stock trades at 40.00x trailing earnings and offers an earnings yield of 2.50%. That tells the reader how much growth and quality the market is already asking the business to defend.

AAON Price Chart

AAON$79.80 -4.32%(6mo)End-of-day · Sep 11, 2026Advanced chart →

Latest close: $76.40 as of September 21, 2026.

The close at $76.40 is not the conclusion, but it is the market reference point. The fundamental read has to explain whether growth, margins, and balance-sheet support justify the price investors are paying.

Bull/Bear Case

The bull case is that revenue, EPS, free cash flow, margins, ROIC, and financial flexibility keep reinforcing the same business-quality read. The bear case is that one of those links breaks while valuation still reflects the stronger historical record. This is where the note turns from metric list to research judgment.

Bull and bear case

Fundamental support

  • Five-year revenue CAGR of 30.47% and five-year EPS CAGR of 5.50% support the business case.
  • Net margin of 8.24% and ROIC of 11.51% are the quality checks behind the thesis.

Fundamental pressure

  • Free-cash-flow CAGR of -57.58% can weaken the read if it falls away from EPS growth.
  • Debt-to-equity of 0.46x and current ratio of 3.01x are the balance-sheet checks that can change the view.

Final Read

The final read should change if the daily data updates move revenue growth, EPS growth, free-cash-flow growth, ROIC, or debt-to-equity away from the evidence above. It is general research context only, not personalized investment advice or a buy or sell call.

FAQ

What is the fundamental read on AAON?

AAON, Inc. is judged through revenue growth of 30.47%, EPS growth of 5.50%, free-cash-flow growth of -57.58%, net margin of 8.24%, and ROIC of 11.51%.

Which AAON fundamental metric matters most?

No single metric carries the article. The checkup requires growth, cash conversion, profitability quality, balance-sheet flexibility, and valuation to be read together.

When should this AAON checkup refresh?

Its figures are as of September 21, 2026, the note's dated snapshot; a note whose figures stop verifying against reported data is corrected or unpublished.

What would change our mind

  • Revenue growth moving away from the current five-year CAGR of 30.47%.
  • Free-cash-flow growth drifting away from five-year EPS CAGR of 5.50%.
  • ROIC or balance-sheet flexibility weakening from ROIC of 11.51% and debt-to-equity of 0.46x.

The bottom line

AAON, Inc. fundamental research note from TGMCharts Research, grounded in a dated fundamentals snapshot, chart exhibits, and linked source facts.

Read next: AAON fundamentalsContinue with AAON, Inc.'s full stock page.
How we checked this researchShow

Data snapshot · By TGMCharts Research.

Every number in this note comes from data we compute and store ourselves from the company's reported figures, plus verbatim excerpts from its SEC filings. When a value isn't available we say so — we never fill gaps with estimates.

Latest filing excerpt

10-Q · filed 2026-08-10 · period 2026-06-30 · SEC EDGAR source

  • The terms of the Amendment increased the amount of the borrowing capacity on the Amended Revolver to $ 600.0 million from $ 500.0 million by exercising the $ 100.0 million accordion feature.
  • Applicable margin, ranging from 1.25% - 1.75%, is determined quarterly based on the Company's leverage ratio.
  • Revenue Recognition The following tables show disaggregated net sales by reportable segment (Note 21) by major product brand, net of intercompany sales eliminations.
  • The Company recognizes revenue, presented net of sales tax, when it satisfies the performance obligation in its contracts.
Full methodology