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Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)
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Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) DCF Valuation

Transparent DCF models put Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)'s fair value in a range of $254.29 – $278.37 — the low end is TGM's conservative base case (5% FCF growth, 10% discount), the high end the analyst consensus (FMP). Today's price of $584.59 sits above that range — by these conservative assumptions it looks richly valued; the reverse-DCF below is the better lens for a high-growth name.

Reverse DCF: at today's $584.59, the market is pricing in roughly +16.1%/yr free-cash-flow growth over the next decade (at a 10% required return) — versus its actual 5-year FCF CAGR of +14.8%. The price is betting on acceleration above its track record.

Price|PE Ratio|FCF Yield|All Metrics

Current Price

$584.59

Fair-Value Range

$254.29 – $278.37

Market-Implied Growth

+16.1%/yr

vs +14.8% 5Y actual

META DCF Fair Value Calculator

Edit the assumptions to see how they change the estimated fair value. Illustrative model — not investment advice. Defaults to a conservative base case; the analyst (FMP) DCF, where available, is shown as a reference below.

5%/yr
Historical FCF CAGR: 3Y 40.0% · 5Y 14.8% · 10Y 21.8%
10%
2.5%
10yr

Base inputs: FCF $40.8B · 2.54B shares · net debt $22.9B

Estimated Fair Value

$254.29

-56.5% vs $584.59

Current price$584.59
Analyst DCF (FMP)$278.37

Sensitivity — fair value by discount rate × terminal growth

How the estimated fair value shifts with the discount rate (WACC) and terminal growth, holding your 5.0%/yr FCF growth and 10-year horizon fixed. Green = above today's $584.59; red = below. Your current case is outlined.

WACC ↓ / Terminal →1.50%2.00%2.50%3.00%3.50%
8.0%$318$335$355$379$408
9.0%$272$284$297$312$330
10.0%$237$245$254$265$277
11.0%$209$215$222$229$238
12.0%$187$191$196$202$208